铁路物流2026，Vol.44Issue(3)：63-70,8.DOI:10.16669/j.cnki.issn.2097-5899.20250321004
河北省商贸物流业碳排放脱钩状态及影响因素研究
Research on Decoupling Status and Influencing Factors of Carbon Emissions in Commercial and Logistics Industry in Hebei Province
摘要
Abstract
This study utilized the carbon emission calculation formula provided by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC).Based on energy consumption data from the commercial and logistics industry in Hebei Province and nationwide spanning from 2005 to 2022,it estimated carbon emissions and further analyzed the driving factors of carbon emissions through the Tapio decoupling model and the logarithmic mean divisia index(LMDI)method.The research findings indicate:① During the period from 2006 to 2022,the relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions in the commercial and logistics industry of Hebei Province is diverse,predominantly characterized by weak decoupling but achieving strong decoupling multiple times,showing similarities but also differences compared to national trends.② The carbon intensity,energy intensity,and industrial structure of Hebei Province's commercial and logistics industry have a negative effect on carbon emissions;energy efficiency,economic development level,and population size exert a positive effect on carbon emissions.③ The industrial structure of Hebei Province's commercial and logistics industry inhibits carbon emissions,contrary to the national trend.Therefore,when formulating emission reduction strategies,Hebei Province needs to focus on key factors such as energy efficiency and strengthen coordinated planning between population growth and logistics development to achieve more effective emission reduction outcomes.关键词
商贸物流业/碳排放/因素分解/脱钩Key words
Commercial and Logistics Industry/Carbon Emission/Factor Decomposition/Decoupling分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
李献士,李林舒菲..河北省商贸物流业碳排放脱钩状态及影响因素研究[J].铁路物流,2026,44(3):63-70,8.基金项目
河北地质大学专业学位教学案例(库)建设项目(YALK2025015) （库）
河北省社会科学发展研究课题(HBSKFZ25YB044) （HBSKFZ25YB044）
