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基于融合理查德方程与弧垂模型的树障风险预测

王志佳 兰剑 赵义松 王飞鸣 陈浩然

东北电力技术2026,Vol.47Issue(3):20-25,30,7.
东北电力技术2026,Vol.47Issue(3):20-25,30,7.

基于融合理查德方程与弧垂模型的树障风险预测

Tree Barrier Risk Prediction Based on Integration of Richard Equation and Sag Model

王志佳 1兰剑 2赵义松 3王飞鸣 3陈浩然4

作者信息

  • 1. 国能康平发电有限公司,辽宁 沈阳 110500
  • 2. 中国电力科学研究院有限公司,北京 102206
  • 3. 国网辽宁省电力有限公司电力科学研究院,辽宁 沈阳 110006
  • 4. 沈阳农业大学信息与电气工程学院,辽宁 沈阳 110866
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to deal with the safety risks caused by vegetation growth to transmission lines,it selects vegetation samples of pow-er lines and typical power supply corridors in some area in the north for systematic analysis.By integrating the thermodynamic deforma-tion equation of the transmission conductor,it quantifies the maximum relaxation change characteristics of the wire under different meteorological conditions,and then constructs the three-dimensional space safety margin evaluation system of the transmission and dis-tribution channels.Based on the Richards growth function,it can accurately calculate the canopy development trend of the vegetation in the target area in the specific growth period.By dynamically simulating the spatial-temporal coupling relationship between vegetation growth and the state under different meteorological conditions of power lines,it constructs the tree barrier warning model,so which realizes the visual warning and quantitative evaluation of vegetation risk in the transmission corridor.The method effectively prevents the discharge accident caused by the vegetation intrusion limit and the line deformation,and provides the technical support for the reli-ability management of the power grid system.

关键词

输电线路/树障风险/弧垂预测/理查德方程/树障预警模型

Key words

transmission line/tree barrier risk/arc vertical prediction/Richard equation/tree barrier warning model

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

王志佳,兰剑,赵义松,王飞鸣,陈浩然..基于融合理查德方程与弧垂模型的树障风险预测[J].东北电力技术,2026,47(3):20-25,30,7.

东北电力技术

1004-7913

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