东北林业大学学报2026，Vol.54Issue(3)：109-114,124,7.
长林小蠹在中国的适生区预测及风险分析
Suitable Area Prediction and Risk Assessment of Hylurgus ligniperda in China
摘要
Abstract
Hylurgus ligniperda is a quarantine pest for imported plants in China and also an invasive alien pest in the country,which has posed potential threats to forest resources and biosecurity.To evaluate the distribution of its potential suitable habitats and the risk of its spread in China,two species distribution models within the BIOMOD2 modeling platform were employed to predict its potential suitable areas.Meanwhile,a comprehensive risk analysis was conducted from five aspects,including species distribution characteristics,potential economic hazards,distribution and economic importance of host plants,transmission possibility,and difficulty of risk management.The results showed that the total area of potential suit-able habitats for H.ligniperda in China accounted for approximately 37.9％of the national territory,with a risk value of 2.53,indicating that it is an extremely dangerous forest pest.Its potential suitable range is extensive and the spread risk is extremely high.It is necessary to promptly implement quarantine and control measures to reduce the risk of its colonization and spread in China.关键词
长林小蠹/适生区预测/风险分析/风险管理Key words
Hylurgus ligniperda/Suitable habitat prediction/Risk analysis/Risk management分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
邹娅,葛雪贞,周玉婷,李春红,宗世祥..长林小蠹在中国的适生区预测及风险分析[J].东北林业大学学报,2026,54(3):109-114,124,7.基金项目
国家林草局林业有害生物防治管理与测报项目. （）
