| 注册
首页|期刊导航|结直肠肛门外科|痔切除术后肛缘水肿风险模型的构建与验证

痔切除术后肛缘水肿风险模型的构建与验证

陈银 赵世明

结直肠肛门外科2026,Vol.32Issue(1):74-82,9.
结直肠肛门外科2026,Vol.32Issue(1):74-82,9.DOI:10.19668/j.cnki.issn1674-0491.2026.01.011

痔切除术后肛缘水肿风险模型的构建与验证

Development and validation of a risk prediction model for perianal edema following hemor-rhoidectomy

陈银 1赵世明1

作者信息

  • 1. 皖南医学院附属宣城医院肛肠外科 安徽 宣城 242000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Objectives To analyze the risk factors for perianal edema following hemorrhoidectomy,construct a nomogram prediction model for forecasting this complication,and validate the model's performance.Methods Clinical data of pa-tients who underwent hemorrhoidectomy at the Affiliated Xuancheng Hospital of Wannan Medical College from March 2023 to April 2025 were retrospectively analyzed.Independent risk factors for post-hemorrhoidectomy perianal edema were screened using LASSO regression and multivariate logistic regression analysis,based on which a nomogram prediction model was constructed.The model's performance was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic curve,Hosmer-Lemeshow test,Bootstrap method,calibration curve,and decision curve analysis(DCA).Results A total of 333 patients were included and divided into a non-edema group(n=178)and an edema group(n=155)based on the occurrence of postoperative perianal edema.The results showed that female patients,circumferential mixed hemorrhoids,absence of tradi-tional Chinese medicine fumigation and washing therapy,perioperative antibiotic use,and abnormal postoperative defeca-tion were independent risk factors for perianal edema after hemorrhoidectomy.The surgical approach of Milligan-Morgan hemorrhoidectomy combined with automatic elastic band ligation was identified as a protective factor.The area under the curve for the nomogram model was 0.883(95%CI:0.848-0.918).Calibration curves,DCA,and clinical impact curves all con-firmed the model's accuracy and clinical utility.Conclusion This study developed and validated a prediction model for perianal edema following hemorrhoidectomy.The model demonstrates good performance and can assist clinicians in preop-erative risk assessment,enabling early targeted interventions to reduce the incidence of this complication.

关键词

肛缘水肿/痔切除术/列线图/预测模型/危险因素

Key words

perianal edema/hemorrhoidectomy/nomogram/prediction model/risk factors

分类

医药卫生

引用本文复制引用

陈银,赵世明..痔切除术后肛缘水肿风险模型的构建与验证[J].结直肠肛门外科,2026,32(1):74-82,9.

结直肠肛门外科

1674-0491

访问量1
|
下载量0
段落导航相关论文