煤气与热力2026，Vol.46Issue(3)：17-24,8.
供热热负荷预测方法研究综述
Review of Research on Heating Load Prediction Methods
摘要
Abstract
The characteristics and influencing factors of heat load are analyzed,the basic steps of heat load pre-diction are introduced.The heat load prediction meth-ods and research hotspots are summarized,and the challenges faced by the heat load prediction are pointed out.The heat load prediction methods have their own advantages and disadvantages,and the non-linear relationship between heat load and influencing factors should be fully considered in forecasting.By im-proving data quality,rationally selecting input vari-ables,and combining different models,the accuracy and stability of models can be improved.Problems such as missing data,inaccuracy,and inconsistent for-matting limit the predictive ability of predictive mod-els.Algorithm improvements can improve the accuracy of predictive models,but it also increases the computa-tional complexity.Different prediction methods are suitable for different projects,and the reusability of cross-system models is poor,which makes it difficult to form a unified standard solution.关键词
热负荷预测/影响因素/多模型组合Key words
heat load prediction/influencing factors/multi-model combination分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
安文含,刘吉营,周世玉,田彦法..供热热负荷预测方法研究综述[J].煤气与热力,2026,46(3):17-24,8.基金项目
山东省高等学校青创人才引育计划创新团队项目(鲁教科函[2021]51号) （鲁教科函[2021]51号）
