南京师范大学学报（工程技术版）2026，Vol.26Issue(1)：61-73,13.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1672-1292.2026.01.008
中东欧国家碳排放水平评估及对中国的政策启示
Assessment of Carbon Emission Levels in Central and Eastern European Countries and Policy Implications for China
摘要
Abstract
Evaluating accurately the level of carbon emissions in Central and Eastern European(CEE)countries is crucial to promoting cooperation between China and CEE countries and building a green"Belt and Road".This paper analyzes the spatial-temporal pattern of carbon emission levels in CEE countries from 2010 to 2020 based on three indicators:total CO2 emissions,per capita CO2 emissions and CO2 emission intensity,and explores the sources of the differences in the carbon emission levels of CEE countries based on the Thiel index,and finally analyzes the influencing factors of CO2 emissions of CEE countries by using the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index method and spatial-temporal geographically weighted regression model.The results show that the CO2 emissions,per capita CO2 emissions and CO2 emission intensity of the CEE countries show a fluctuating downward trend,and spatially exhibit significant heterogeneity characteristics.The differences in total CO2 emissions among the CEE countries have widened,the differences in per capita CO2 emissions and CO2 emission intensity have shown a decreasing trend,and the differences in per capita CO2 emissions and CO2 emission intensity among the three Baltic countries are significantly higher than those of other regions.Energy intensity,energy structure,and population size show inhibitory effects on carbon emissions in the CEE countries,while the level of economic development shows a facilitating effect,and the carbon emission effects of different influencing factors have obvious spatial and temporal heterogeneity.Based on the above findings,a brief policy proposal for future cooperation between China and CEE countries is put forward,aiming to provide scientific support for China to realize the goal of the"dual-carbon"strategy and to promote good global climate governance.关键词
全球气候善治/中东欧/碳排放/影响因素Key words
good global climate governance/Central and Eastern Europe/carbon emissions/influencing factors分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
黄蕊,徐璐瑶,黄庆..中东欧国家碳排放水平评估及对中国的政策启示[J].南京师范大学学报（工程技术版）,2026,26(1):61-73,13.基金项目
国家重点研发计划项目(2020YFA0608601)、国家自然科学基金项目(41701615). （2020YFA0608601）
