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重塑家庭经济安全网:长期护理保险对家庭经济韧性的影响

张伟科 范宏霞

人口与经济2026,Vol.47Issue(2):117-129,13.
人口与经济2026,Vol.47Issue(2):117-129,13.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-4149.2026.00.023

重塑家庭经济安全网:长期护理保险对家庭经济韧性的影响

Reshaping the Family Economic Safety Net:The Impact of Long-term Care Insurance on Family Economic Resilience

张伟科 1范宏霞1

作者信息

  • 1. 四川大学 公共管理学院,四川 成都 610065
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In the context of rising population ageing and increasing demand for elderly care,there are significant theoretical and practical values in investigating whether long-term care insurance can enhance family economic resilience.This study utilizes the difference-in-differences(DID)method,drawing upon data from the China Household Finance Survey(CHFS)spanning the years 2013,2015,2017,and 2019,to examine the impact of long-term care insurance on family economic resilience.Findings reveal that the implementation of long-term care insurance significantly boosts family economic resilience,with insured families experiencing an increase of approximately 0.03 units compared to uninsured families.Specifically,the policy's economic resilience-enhancing effect is more pronounced for rural,low-asset,low-human-capital,and senior households.Mechanistic analysis suggests that long-term care insurance effectively increases family income,with insured families seeing a total income increase of about ¥24781 and a per capita income increase of approximately ¥5583.Concurrently,it significantly alleviates family liquidity constraints,with insured families experiencing a reduction of about 10.5%in liquidity constraints.The extended research indicates that long-term care insurance also effectively reduces household poverty vulnerability,further corroborating its positive impact on family economic resilience.This study broadens the scope of research on the effects of long-term care insurance and provides scientific evidence and theoretical reference for how to enhances family welfare levels through long-term care insurance.

关键词

长期护理保险/家庭经济韧性/贫困脆弱性/双重差分方法/家庭流动性约束

Key words

long-term care insurance/family economic resilience/poverty vulnerability/difference-in-differences method/family liquidity constraints

分类

社会科学

引用本文复制引用

张伟科,范宏霞..重塑家庭经济安全网:长期护理保险对家庭经济韧性的影响[J].人口与经济,2026,47(2):117-129,13.

基金项目

国家社会科学基金后期资助重点项目"家庭福利增进新策:长期护理保险的多维效应与路径优化研究"(24FGLA006). (24FGLA006)

人口与经济

OACHSSCD

1000-4149

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