石油与天然气地质2026，Vol.47Issue(2)：351-365,15.DOI:10.11743/ogg20260201
全球油气勘探机遇与挑战
Opportunities and challenges in global petroleum exploration
摘要
Abstract
The century-long history of the oil and gas industry in the world has witnessed rapid advancements in petroleum exploration and an ever-expanding scope of research.The dynamic evaluation of oil and gas resources has played a crucial role in guiding and facilitating this process.Specifically,theoretical breakthroughs and initial exploration help identify new potential plays,while resource evaluation and exploration practices together drive both theoretical and technological progress.These contribute to a great leap forward in new areas of petroleum exploration.Over the past two decades,driven by technological advancements and the goals of achieving carbon neutrality and peak carbon dioxide emissions,global petroleum exploration efforts have been extended into deep-water environments,deep plays,and unconventional resources dominated by shale oil and gas,continuously opening new frontiers.According to the independent evaluation of the China National Petroleum Corporation(CNPC)2024,the technically recoverable oil and gas resources worldwide amount to 1 868.4 billion tons of oil equivalent,with conventional recoverable resources accounting for 61.2%and unconventional recoverable resources representing 38.8%.Therefore,conventional hydrocarbon resources remain the primary source of utilization,while unconventional hydrocarbon resources serve as an effective supplement.In the next 30 years,oil and gas will continue to play a vital role in global primary energy consumption.In this context,Chinese oil companies should sustain production and ensure sustainable development by securing numerous new overseas petroleum exploration and exploitation projects.Focusing on the high-quality petroleum exploration and exploitation overseas and in combination with petroleum geological conditions,resource potential,and cooperation environments,top ten major regions should be given priority for conventional petroleum exploration in the next decade,such as the Russian Arctic,the Central South Atlantic,and offshore East Africa.For shale oil exploration,seven major regions should be highlighted,including the Arabian Basin in the Middle East,the Volga-Urals Basin and West Siberian Basin in Russia,and the Bongor Basin and the southern Chad Basin of the West and Central African rift system.With the profound transformation of the global energy landscape and increasing difficulties in resource development,petroleum exploration is confronted with unprecedented complex challenges.Moving forward,the deep integration of theory,technology,exploration models,and intelligence will be a critical approach to successful petroleum exploration in the future.关键词
深水/深层/页岩油/资源评价/地质理论/人工智能/油气勘探方向Key words
deep-water/deep play/shale oil/resource evaluation/geological theory/artificial intelligence(AI)/petroleum exploration direction分类
能源科技引用本文复制引用
窦立荣,边海光,李恒萱,温志新,王兆明,贺正军,宋成鹏,陈瑞银,刘小兵,季天愚,刘祚冬..全球油气勘探机遇与挑战[J].石油与天然气地质,2026,47(2):351-365,15.基金项目
中国石油天然气股份有限公司重大科技专项(2023ZZ07) （2023ZZ07）
新型油气勘探开发国家科技重大专项(2025ZD1400800). （2025ZD1400800）
