| 注册
首页|期刊导航|现代电力|耦合极点对称模态分解和小波包方法在短期风电出力预测中的应用

耦合极点对称模态分解和小波包方法在短期风电出力预测中的应用

李斌 丁一 刘振路 包哲 李薇

现代电力2026,Vol.43Issue(2):244-252,9.
现代电力2026,Vol.43Issue(2):244-252,9.DOI:10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2023.0431

耦合极点对称模态分解和小波包方法在短期风电出力预测中的应用

Application of Extreme-point Symmetric Mode Decomposition and Wavelet Packet Decomposition Method in Short-term Wind Power Prediction

李斌 1丁一 1刘振路 2包哲 2李薇2

作者信息

  • 1. 国投电力控股股份有限公司,北京市 西城区 100034
  • 2. 资源环境系统优化教育部重点实验室(华北电力大学),北京市 昌平区 102206
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To mitigate the impact of uncertainty and volatility of wind power on the power grid,a gate recurrent unit neural network prediction model is proposed based on extreme-point symmetric mode decomposition and wavelet packet decomposition.Firstly,the original wind power output sequence is decomposed several times to thoroughly excavate the patterns among the sequences.Then,a gate recurrent unit neural network is employed to predict the decomposed sub-modes.Finally,the prediction results of the integrated model are compared with those of the gate recurrent unit neural network and BP neural network.Taking a wind farm in Altay,Xinjiang as an example,the validity of the model is verified.It has been demonstrated that the proposed model can substantially enhance the forecasting accuracy of short-term wind power generation.

关键词

极点对称模态分解/门控循环单元神经网络/小波包分解/风电出力预测

Key words

extreme-point symmetric mode decomposition/gate recurrent unit neural network/wavelet packet decomposition/wind power output forecast

分类

能源科技

引用本文复制引用

李斌,丁一,刘振路,包哲,李薇..耦合极点对称模态分解和小波包方法在短期风电出力预测中的应用[J].现代电力,2026,43(2):244-252,9.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(62073134).Project Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(62073134). (62073134)

现代电力

1007-2322

访问量1
|
下载量0
段落导航相关论文