中国人口·资源与环境2026，Vol.36Issue(2)：99-111,13.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20251035
低空经济的气候困局、风险演化与协同治理
Climate dilemmas,risk evolution,and collaborative governance of the low-altitude economy
摘要
Abstract
Against the backdrop of global climate change and the transition toward a low-carbon economy,the low-altitude economy—an emerging economic sector integrating advanced manufacturing,intelligent transportation,and digital governance—is confronting un-precedented climate risks.Grounded in complex systems theory,this study constructs a climate risk analytical framework for the low-al-titude economy.By systematically deconstructing its core subsystems—equipment manufacturing,infrastructure,operational support,application scenarios,and policy regulation—the study examines both the interactive mechanisms within internal subsystems and their interactions with social and environmental systems,thereby elucidating the evolutionary mechanism of climate risks and pathways for collaborative governance.The findings reveal that:① Owing to its vertical exposure,energy dependence,and ecological interactivity,the low-altitude economy exhibits significantly greater sensitivity to climate change than traditional economic systems;② Climate change impacts are transmitted through two channels—direct physical impacts and indirect systemic interventions—giving rise to a dy-namic risk evolution characterized by short-term abrupt shocks,medium-term systemic disruptions,and long-term structural transforma-tions.In the short term,extreme weather events lead to service chain breakdowns,supply chain disruptions,and surges in public safety incidents.In the medium term,the contraction of airworthy operating spaces triggers cascading failures across industrial chains,acceler-ated infrastructure aging,and the ineffectiveness of policy instruments.In the long term,shifts in economic corridors result in technolog-ical generational gaps and institutional rigidity.To mitigate these risks,this study proposes a triple-helix dynamic collaborative gover-nance framework centered on"adaptation-synergy-resilience."This framework emphasizes enhancing systemic climate-adaptive gover-nance through dynamic adjustment and technological empowerment,promoting collaborative governance through multi-stakeholder syn-ergy and institutional innovation,and strengthening the resilience of the low-altitude economic system through emergency management and risk prevention.This study aims to provide theoretical support and practical references for the systematic prevention and control of climate risks and the sustainable development of the low-altitude economy.关键词
低空经济/气候风险/传导机理/动态演化/协同治理Key words
low-altitude economy/climate risk/transmission mechanism/dynamic evolution/collaborative governance分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
李萌,王亦菲,潘家华..低空经济的气候困局、风险演化与协同治理[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2026,36(2):99-111,13.基金项目
中国社会科学院生态文明研究所重点项目"碳中和的经济分析与政策研究"(批准号:STWM-ZS-2021-001). （批准号:STWM-ZS-2021-001）
