中国水利水电科学研究院学报（中英文）2026，Vol.24Issue(2)：134-145,12.DOI:10.3724/j.jiwhr.20250176
河冰模型SkyRices的研发及应用案例分析
Development and application analysis of the SkyRices River Ice Model
摘要
Abstract
In high-latitude cold regions,hydraulic infrastructure is significantly affected by water-ice phase transi-tions,which can lead to frost heave,ice-induced scour and compression,and ice flood events.This study presents the development of the river ice model or SkyRices,a comprehensive simulation framework grounded in the thermody-namic and dynamic processes of winter river systems,including heat loss,ice production,river freeze-up,and break-up.The model integrates three key components:an intelligent ensemble forecasting system for river ice and water temperatures,a one-dimensional river ice dynamics module,and a two-dimensional coupled simulation of water,ice,and sediment.The SkyRices model was applied to multiple scenarios,including the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project,the major water network project in Jilin Province,and the Northern Xinji-ang water supply system.Simulation results demonstrate that the model effectively captures heat loss and water tem-perature variations under typical cold wave conditions,the evolution of ice processes influenced by complex hydrau-lic structures,and the dynamics of ice flood formation driven by interactions among water,ice,and sediment.The findings suggest that the SkyRices model is well-suited for hydrological forecasting of river ice conditions and full-process simulation of ice regimes in rivers,canals,and reservoirs.Its application supports intelligent water manage-ment and enhances ice disaster prevention and mitigation efforts.关键词
河冰模型/凌汛洪水/水网工程/冰水耦合/冰期防凌Key words
river ice model/ice flood/water network infrastructure/water-ice interaction/ice-season flood manage-ment分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
潘佳佳,郭新蕾,王涛,付辉,郭永鑫,李甲振,陈玉壮..河冰模型SkyRices的研发及应用案例分析[J].中国水利水电科学研究院学报（中英文）,2026,24(2):134-145,12.基金项目
国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3202500) （2022YFC3202500）
国家自然科学基金项目(U2243221,U2243239,U2443221,52479080) （U2243221,U2243239,U2443221,52479080）
流域水循环与水安全全国重点实验室资助项目(SKL2025RCPY04) （SKL2025RCPY04）
中国水科院科研专项项目(HY0145B032021) （HY0145B032021）
