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基于订单数据的新能源出租车出行需求影响因素分析

孙少凡 卢浩 寇巳瑾 于维杰 马新卫

交通运输工程与信息学报2026,Vol.24Issue(2):106-116,11.
交通运输工程与信息学报2026,Vol.24Issue(2):106-116,11.DOI:10.19961/j.cnki.1672-4747.2025.07.010

基于订单数据的新能源出租车出行需求影响因素分析

Analysis of factors influencing the travel demand of new energy taxis based on order data

孙少凡 1卢浩 2寇巳瑾 1于维杰 1马新卫1

作者信息

  • 1. 河北工业大学,土木与交通学院,天津 300401
  • 2. 天津市工业和信息化研究院,天津 300081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

[Background]As the global energy structure transforms and the"dual carbon"strategy gains traction,new-energy taxis have emerged as an essential component of low-carbon transporta-tion systems.However,current studies on taxi order demand lack detailed distinctions among vehicle types,resulting in insufficient influencing mechanisms of order demand for new-energy taxis.[Method]An MDCEV model of new-energy taxi order demand was developed using medium-dis-tance travel as a benchmark to quantify how socioeconomic,built environment,and transportation network attributes shape short-and long-distance demand during peak periods,allowing for more tar-geted operational strategies and planning decisions.[Data]Real-world operational data for new-ener-gy taxis in Tianjin were used to cover various time periods,trip distances,and multidimensional envi-ronmental variables.[Result]Long-distance orders showed the highest saturation threshold during peak periods:high housing prices increased short-distance demand,while high population density de-creased long-distance orders.Points of interest(POI)such as charging stations and medical facilities,boosted short-distance trips,while office POI reduced long-distance demand during weekend peaks.Distance from the city center positively correlated with short-distance trips,whereas road density negatively affected long-distance trips.[Conclusion]The impact of various factors on new energy taxi travel demand varies significantly based on the time of day and trip distance.[Application]This paper can provide scientific support for targeted operational strategies for new-energy taxis and ur-ban transport planning,with the aim of promoting sustainable green mobility.

关键词

城市交通/订单需求分析/MDCEV模型/新能源出租车/出行距离

Key words

urban traffic/order demand analysis/MDCEV model/new-energy taxi/trip distance

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

孙少凡,卢浩,寇巳瑾,于维杰,马新卫..基于订单数据的新能源出租车出行需求影响因素分析[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2026,24(2):106-116,11.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(52202387) (52202387)

交通运输工程与信息学报

1672-4747

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