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机器学习在农经领域研究中的应用前景

普蓂喆 魏广成 励汀郁

农业经济问题Issue(11):46-60,15.
农业经济问题Issue(11):46-60,15.

机器学习在农经领域研究中的应用前景

The Application Prospects of Machine Learning in Agricultural Economics Research:Taking Grain as an Example

普蓂喆 1魏广成 1励汀郁1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京,100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

As a core technology of artificial intelligence,machine learning has demonstrated vast application potential in agricultural economic research due to its robust data processing and model-building capabilities.This paper takes grain research as its starting point to examine the current state of machine learning applications in the grain sector,identify existing challenges,and outline future devel-opment directions.The study finds that machine learning has been applied in areas such as grain price and yield forecasting,production risk assessment,food consumption behavior,nutrition and health,and loss reduction,and has significantly enhanced prediction accuracy and analytical efficiency.However,current research still faces challenges such as narrow research topic,limited application scenarios,insuf-ficient interdisciplinary integration,and weak theoretical innovation.Future efforts should focus on pro-moting the deep integration of machine learning with traditional econometric methods,expanding its role in analyzing unstructured data and complex systems,strengthening interdisciplinary collaboration,and supporting the development of localized theoretical frameworks.These efforts will better serve to ensure national food security and build a diversified food supply system by providing more precise and intelli-gent decision-making support.

关键词

机器学习/粮食/预测分析/跨学科研究/政策模拟

Key words

Machine learning/Grain/Predictive analytics/Interdisciplinary research/Policy simula-tion

引用本文复制引用

普蓂喆,魏广成,励汀郁..机器学习在农经领域研究中的应用前景[J].农业经济问题,2025,(11):46-60,15.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目"粮食安全政治责任下地方政府抓粮的策略性行为研究:识别,影响与对策"(编号:72373146),国家自然科学基金项目"我国北方牧区牧户对气候变化的适应能力研究"(编号:42201316),中央级公益性科研院所基本业务费专项院级项目"推动我国粮食消费与供应适配的政策体系研究"(编号:Y2025YY09),中国农业科学院科技创新工程所级重大任务项目"粮食产销区省际横向利益补偿研究"(编号:10-AED-SZD-02-2025),中央级公益性科研院所基本业务费专项"草原畜牧业转型升级的突破路径和机制研究"(编号:1610052025044),中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项"以小农户为基础构建现代农业经营体系研究"(编号:1610052025047). (编号:72373146)

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