全球能源互联网2026，Vol.9Issue(2)：183-194,12.DOI:10.19705/j.cnki.issn2096-5125.20240319
贸易开放促进典型国家碳减排:基于Tapio和STRIPAT模型的分析
Trade Openness Promotes Carbon Reductions in Representative Countries:An Analysis Based on the Tapio and STRIPAT Models
摘要
Abstract
Decoupling economic growth from carbon emissions is critical for achieving Nationally Determined Contributions.However,the targets and actions are in the hands of individual countries,and the current rise in trade protectionism has also increased the uncertainty of emission reductions.Based on data from six Annex I countries and the BASIC countries from 2000 to 2019,this study examines the decoupling status of economic growth from carbon emissions,and analyzes the role of trade in emission reductions.The results show that,firstly,the decoupling status of the six Annex I countries mostly tends towards a stable weak decoupling,gradually transitioning to a strong decoupling.Among the BASIC countries,China and South Africa have relatively strong decoupling capabilities,while Brazil and India have relatively weak decoupling capabilities.Secondly,trade openness significantly reduces carbon emissions in these sample countries,providing empirical evidence against trade protectionism.In addition,for the BASIC countries,economic growth and industrialization show a positive correlation with carbon emissions,highlighting the contradiction between development and emission reduction.Finally,targeted emission reduction policy recommendations are proposed.关键词
碳减排/减排立场/贸易开放/基础四国/Tapio脱钩Key words
emission reduction/mitigation position/trade openness/BASIC countries/Tapio decoupling分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
卢治霖,王丽丽,潘勋章,郇嘉嘉,庞军..贸易开放促进典型国家碳减排:基于Tapio和STRIPAT模型的分析[J].全球能源互联网,2026,9(2):183-194,12.基金项目
中国南方电网有限责任公司科技项目(GDKJXM20222448). Science and Technology Program of China Southern Power Grid Co.,Ltd.(GDKJXM20222448). （GDKJXM20222448）
