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基于XGBoost-SVR组合模型的气象能见度预测

杜厚宇

山东理工大学学报(自然科学版)2026,Vol.40Issue(4):43-49,7.
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山东理工大学学报(自然科学版)2026,Vol.40Issue(4):43-49,7.

基于XGBoost-SVR组合模型的气象能见度预测

Research on meteorological visibility prediction based on XGBoost-SVR combined model:a case study of Beijing

杜厚宇1

作者信息

  • 1. 泰山学院 信息科学技术学院,山东 泰安 271000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

With the acceleration of urbanization and the intensification of global climate change,accurate visibility prediction under the coupling of atmospheric pollution and complex meteorological conditions has become a key technical challenge for environmental management.In order to improve the accuracy of dy-namic urban meteorological visibility prediction,this study takes Beijing as an empirical object,screens 10 key meteorological parameters such as daily average temperature,daily humidity,daily wind speed,sea level pressure,and establishes a combined XGBoost-SVR machine learning prediction model by the stacked generalization method,the dynamic weighted fusion method,and the residual learning method,respectively.The prediction results of these three combined models are systematically evaluated and com-pared with the single machine learning model and among the combined models.The results show that the XGBoost-SVR combined model based on stacked generalization method achieves the highest prediction accuracy,with an accuracy of 84.02%,which is3.70%higher than the second best model.Additional-ly,the XGBoost-SVR combined model significantly outperforms the single machine learning model and other combined model algorithms.

关键词

气象能见度/组合模型/城市微气候/机器学习

Key words

meteorological visibility/combined model/urban microclimate/machine learning

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

杜厚宇..基于XGBoost-SVR组合模型的气象能见度预测[J].山东理工大学学报(自然科学版),2026,40(4):43-49,7.

山东理工大学学报(自然科学版)

1672-6197

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