地质找矿论丛2026，Vol.41Issue(1)：69-80,12.DOI:10.6053/j.issn.1001-1412.2026.01.007
基于博弈组合赋权-云模型的区域地热开发适宜性评价
Suitability Evaluation of Regional Geothermal Development with Game Combination Weighting and Cloud Model
摘要
Abstract
With the acceleration of urbanization in northwest Shandong,the demand for heating in winter has increased sig-nificantly,and the supply of traditional energy tends to be tight.To ensure energy security and sustainable development,it is crucial to scientifically evaluate the advantages of geothermal resources.In this paper,the northwest Shandong Province is taken as the research object,and the comprehensive weight of each evaluation index is determined by combining the charac-teristics of the geothermal field,geothermal reservoir characteristics,and regional development needs,using the game combi-nation weighting method of variation coefficient method,CRITIC method,gray correlation method,and projection pursuit method.By using the cloud model to sddress the fuzziness and randomness in the evaluation,the suitability grade is deter-mined by comparing and analyzing the actual cloud picture with the standard cloud picture of the evaluation unit,thereby en-abling regional geothermal suitability evaluation.The results show that the areas with"good"suitability in the study area are distributed in Dezhou latent fault depression,Gaotang latent fault uplift,and Gucheng-Guantao latent fault uplift.Gross na-tional product,thermal storage temperature,and thermal storage thickness are the key factors affecting the suitability of geo-thermal development in the study area.The research results can provide a reference for optimizing the regional geothermal re-sources exploration target area.关键词
地热资源/博弈论/云模型/适宜性评价/鲁西北平原Key words
geothermal resources/game theory/cloud model/suitability evaluation/Northwest Shandong Plain分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
闫子怡,丁朋朋,闫佳贤,赵雅琪,王明珠,何怡香..基于博弈组合赋权-云模型的区域地热开发适宜性评价[J].地质找矿论丛,2026,41(1):69-80,12.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目"储层时空非均质性对砂岩热储多场耦合过程影响机理与开发模式优化"(42307272)、自然资源部天津中低温地热野外科学观测研究站开放课题"孔隙型热储开采适宜性评价及采灌模式研究"(TJDRYWZ-202407)、宁夏自然科学基金优秀青年项目"孔隙型地热开发渗流-传热-变形过程对储层非均质性的响应机理及其优化开采研究"(2024AAC05027)、宁夏大学水利工程"一流学科"建设项目(030900002602)联合资助. （42307272）
