中国劳动关系学院学报2026，Vol.40Issue(2)：1-10,10.
"十五五"时期我国劳动力市场的主要特征、趋势及政策讨论
Main Characteristics,Trends,and Policy Discussions of China's Labor Market During the"15th Five-Year Plan"Period
摘要
Abstract
Since the"14th Five-Year Plan"period,China's urban surveyed unemployment rate has approached the natural unemployment rate,accompanied by moderate and stable macroeconomic growth,which forms the basis forjudging overall employment stability during the"15th Five-Year Plan"period.The demographic fundamentals of labor supply and demand in China will undergo significant changes during the"15th Five-Year Plan"period.The population of young adults aged 16-29 entering the labor force will peak,the proportion of employment in foreign-funded enterprises is on a downward trend,capacity utilization is weakening,AI's impact on employment is extensive and profound across all industries and occupations,and the structural employment contradiction stemming from supply-demand mismatches will represent a medium to long-term pressure on the labor market.To grasp the main characteristics and trends of China's labor market during the"15th Five-Year Plan"period,it is necessary to implement consistent macro-policy objectives throughout the economic circulation process,prioritize promoting youth employment,and strengthen the policy system construction centered on technology for good,education reshaping,and social security as a safety net,thereby promoting high-quality and full employment.关键词
"十五五"/劳动力市场/人工智能/高质量充分就业Key words
"15th Five-Year Plan"/labor market/artificial intelligence/high-quality and full employment分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
屈小博.."十五五"时期我国劳动力市场的主要特征、趋势及政策讨论[J].中国劳动关系学院学报,2026,40(2):1-10,10.基金项目
本文系中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所创新工程项目"中国式现代化进程中的人口高质量发展"(项目编号:2025RKS02)的阶段性研究成果. （项目编号:2025RKS02）
