国际石油经济2026，Vol.34Issue(4)：54-63,10.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-7298.2026.04.006
2025年中国碳排放权交易市场发展与"十五五"展望
Development of China's carbon emission trading market in 2025 and its prospect
摘要
Abstract
In 2025,China's national carbon emission trading market(CET)entered a critical phase of deepening institutional mechanisms and expanding coverage,marked by the following new characteristics as clear future directions set by top-level design,divergent trends in national carbon allowance trading volume and prices,declining trading activity in some local carbon markets,a short-term price inversion of CCER relative to allowances,carbon accounting and carbon footprints becoming key leverage points,and accelerated development of carbon financial products including carbon futures.Looking ahead to the 15th Five-Year Plan period,it is expected that multiple factors will strongly support rising carbon prices in China's carbon market,market coverage will continue to expand,CCER will align with international credit standards,and carbon accounting and carbon footprints will drive deeper green transformation and development.It proposes that China should deepen reforms of the carbon market mechanism,strengthen supporting policies and data infrastructure,and promote multi-market synergy and high-level international integration at the macro level and companies should elevate carbon asset management to a strategic priority,enhance internal capabilities and technical support systems,and accelerate the cultivation and retention of interdisciplinary carbon professionals at the corporate perspective.关键词
碳排放权交易市场/碳排放权交易/碳价/国家核证自愿减排量(CCER)/碳核算与碳足迹Key words
carbon emission trading market/carbon emission trading/carbon price/CCER/carbon accounting and carbon footprint分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
周新媛,徐东,张庆辰,李爽..2025年中国碳排放权交易市场发展与"十五五"展望[J].国际石油经济,2026,34(4):54-63,10.基金项目
中国石油天然气股份有限公司项目《我国碳定价及预测模型研究(2025)》 （2025）
