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基于多模态融合的鼻咽癌复发风险预测

陈彩洪 唐业欢 覃茂昌 林伟龙 甘瑞静 宾翔 黄代政

广西医科大学学报2026,Vol.43Issue(2):206-217,12.
广西医科大学学报2026,Vol.43Issue(2):206-217,12.DOI:10.16190/j.cnki.45-1211/r.2026.02.008

基于多模态融合的鼻咽癌复发风险预测

Prediction of recurrence risk in nasopharyngeal carcinoma based on multimodal fusion

陈彩洪 1唐业欢 2覃茂昌 1林伟龙 1甘瑞静 3宾翔 4黄代政1

作者信息

  • 1. 广西医科大学生命科学研究院,南宁 530021
  • 2. 广西医科大学第一附属医院放射科,南宁 530021
  • 3. 广西医科大学基础医学院,南宁 530021
  • 4. 广西医科大学第一附属医院耳鼻咽喉头颈外科,南宁 530021
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Objective:To integrate clinical and pathological whole slide image(WSI)with magnetic resonance imaging(MRI)data to construct a multimodal machine learning model for assessing postoperative recurrence risk in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients.Methods:Retrospective collection of clinical data,WSI,and multi-sequence MRI from 168 nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients.MRI features and tumor region features of WSI were extracted separately via radiomics and the CTransPath+CLAM framework,respectively.The performance of unimodal and multimodal prediction models was compared using the random forest method.All models were trained and evaluated via 5-fold stratified cross-validation.The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC)served as the primary performance metric,and clinical net benefit was assessed using decision curve analysis.Results:The multimodal model integrating clinical data,WSI,and MRI demonstrated the best predictive performance,with an AUC of 0.794,representing an improvement of 0.215 compared with the clinical indicators model(AUC=0.579,P=0.109)and an increase of 0.183 compared with the AJCC anatomic staging model(AUC=0.611,P=0.015);however,the combined model of clinical indicators and staging(AUC=0.660)still showed a significant deficit compared with the multimodal model(ΔAUC=0.134,P=0.015).In head-to-head comparisons,the multimodal model also outperformed the MRI model(AUC=0.769,P>0.05)and the WSI model(AUC=0.511,P<0.001).Decision curve analysis(DCA)indicated that the multimodal model yielded the highest net benefit across most risk threshold ranges.Model interpretation revealed that its predictive power pri-marily stems from MRI textural features reflecting tumor heterogeneity.Conclusion:A multimodal machine learning model is successfully constructed and validated.By integrating clinical data,WSI and MRI information,it demonstrates promising clinical application potential for recurrence prediction of nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

关键词

鼻咽癌/复发预测/多模态融合/机器学习/病理全切片图像/磁共振成像/临床决策支持/模型验证

Key words

nasopharyngeal carcinoma/recurrence prediction/multimodal fusion/machine learning/whole slide image/magnetic resonance imaging/clinical decision support/model validation

分类

医药卫生

引用本文复制引用

陈彩洪,唐业欢,覃茂昌,林伟龙,甘瑞静,宾翔,黄代政..基于多模态融合的鼻咽癌复发风险预测[J].广西医科大学学报,2026,43(2):206-217,12.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(62341601) (62341601)

广西医科大学学报

1005-930X

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