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融合时频分解与通道交互感知的多变量光伏功率预测

李整 武文丽 秦金磊 武衡

计算机应用研究2026,Vol.43Issue(4):1038-1045,8.
计算机应用研究2026,Vol.43Issue(4):1038-1045,8.DOI:10.19734/j.issn.1001-3695.2025.07.0293

融合时频分解与通道交互感知的多变量光伏功率预测

Multivariate photovoltaic power forecasting based on time-frequency decomposition and channel interaction awareness

李整 1武文丽 2秦金磊 3武衡2

作者信息

  • 1. 华北电力大学 计算机系,河北保定 071003||华北电力大学 复杂能源系统智能计算教育部工程研究中心,河北保定 071003
  • 2. 华北电力大学 计算机系,河北保定 071003
  • 3. 华北电力大学 计算机系,河北保定 071003||河北省能源电力知识计算重点实验室,河北保定 071003
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To improve the accuracy of multivariate photovoltaic(PV)power prediction,this study proposed a multivariate PV power prediction model based on time-frequency decomposition and channel interaction awareness.Aiming at the issue that exi-sting time-series decomposition methods relying on basic moving average kernels struggle to handle the nonlinear structures and complex trends of PV power data,it designed a dual decomposition mechanism integrating the time domain and frequency do-main to enhance the modeling capability for non-stationary sequences.To overcome the limitation that channel-independent methods ignored the potential correlations among multiple variables,it constructed a channel interaction-aware method.In ad-dition,addressing the shortcomings of traditional PV power prediction-such as neglecting the differences in time-step weights,changes in long-short-term correlations,and time-dependent features-it introduced a joint loss function.This func-tion combined mean squared error(MSE),signal attenuation loss,and first-order difference loss using an adaptive weight ad-justment scheme.Experiments on four actual PV datasets show that,compared with the optimal benchmark model,the pro-posed model reduces the MSE and mean absolute error(MAE)by an average of 5.59%and 5.01%,respectively,with the maximum reductions reaching 7.40%and 8.80%.The results demonstrate that the model significantly improves prediction ac-curacy and mitigates the cumulative effect of errors in the time dimension.

关键词

多变量光伏功率预测/时频分解/通道增强/联合损失函数

Key words

multivariate photovoltaic power prediction/time-frequency decomposition/channel enhancement/joint loss func-tion

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

李整,武文丽,秦金磊,武衡..融合时频分解与通道交互感知的多变量光伏功率预测[J].计算机应用研究,2026,43(4):1038-1045,8.

基金项目

河北省自然科学基金资助项目(F2014502081) (F2014502081)

中央高校基本科研业务费专项基金资助项目(2020MS120) (2020MS120)

计算机应用研究

1001-3695

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