水力发电2026，Vol.52Issue(5)：12-18,30,8.
"双碳"目标下风光可再生能源土地要素保障潜力分析及对策
Land Availability for Wind and Solar Power under the Carbon Goals:A Potential Analysis and Policy Recommendations
摘要
Abstract
The pursuit of China's carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals has accelerated the expansion of wind and photovoltaic(PV)power capacity,yet this growth is constrained by land availability.This article evaluates the potential of China's land resources to accommodate centralized onshore wind and PV projects by 2030.Our findings indicate that,in aggregate,China possesses sufficient land resources to support the large-scale development envisioned for the 15th Five-Year Plan period,however,this potential varies significantly across regions.The northwestern region possesses the most favorable conditions,whereas many eastern coastal provinces face substantial land constraints.In response,several policy recommendations are proposed,including optimizing regional planning,prioritizing development quotas for the northwest,promoting distributed solar PV and multi-purpose land use in the east,and fostering technological and policy innovations.关键词
"双碳"目标/土地要素保障潜力/风力发电/光伏发电/国土空间/政策建议Key words
Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality/land availability/wind power/photovoltaic(PV)power/territorial space/policy recommendations分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
韩燕,刘文胜,余坤,郭万帧,徐静.."双碳"目标下风光可再生能源土地要素保障潜力分析及对策[J].水力发电,2026,52(5):12-18,30,8.基金项目
水电水利规划设计总院公司科研项目"双碳目标下可再生能源用地用海趋势及保障研究"(ZS-KJSK-20240010) （ZS-KJSK-20240010）
