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超大城市台风-暴雨灾害韧性治理的政策逻辑解构:以上海市为例

张鑫 高燕 王军 张玥

水利经济2026,Vol.44Issue(2):83-93,11.
水利经济2026,Vol.44Issue(2):83-93,11.DOI:10.3880/j.issn.1003-9511.2026.02.009

超大城市台风-暴雨灾害韧性治理的政策逻辑解构:以上海市为例

Deconstructing the policy logic of resilience governance for typhoon-rainstorm disasters in megacities:a case study of Shanghai

张鑫 1高燕 1王军 2张玥3

作者信息

  • 1. 河海大学公共管理学院
  • 2. 上海市海洋管理事务中心
  • 3. 河海大学商学院
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Optimizing the disaster resilience governance system of megacities is a key measure to address the increasingly severe risk of typhoon and rainstorm disasters at present.Taking Shanghai as a case study,this paper constructs a three-dimensional analytical framework of policy tools-themes-objectives,conducts systematic coding and multi-dimensional analysis of 23 policy texts,and analyzes the structural characteristics and resource allocation logic of the current resilience governance policies for typhoon and rainstorm disasters.The study finds that Shanghai has formed a policy model featuring government leadership,engineering priority and prevention orientation,which is reflected in the dominance of supply-side tools,the focus of resilience construction on infrastructure and management systems,and the inclination of policy attention to the pre-disaster stage.This model adapts to the governance needs of megacities and possesses strong shock resistance under conventional disasters.From the perspective of the advanced requirements of whole-cycle systematic resilience governance,the model still has room for phased optimization:there is a path dependence on government leadership in the tool dimension,the refined construction of social and economic soft resilience still has room for deepening in the theme dimension,and the post-disaster recovery,experience transformation efficiency and regular improvement mechanism still need to be improved in the process dimension.Based on these findings,it is proposed to optimize the combination of policy tools,balance the structure of resilience construction,and strengthen full-cycle governance.

关键词

台风-暴雨灾害/超大城市/风险保障/韧性治理/政策分析/上海市

Key words

typhoon-rainstorm disasters/megacity/risk protection/resilience governance/policy analysis/Shanghai

引用本文复制引用

张鑫,高燕,王军,张玥..超大城市台风-暴雨灾害韧性治理的政策逻辑解构:以上海市为例[J].水利经济,2026,44(2):83-93,11.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金面上项目(72374064) (72374064)

水利经济

OACHSSCD

1003-9511

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