水利经济2026，Vol.44Issue(2)：117-125,9.DOI:10.3880/j.issn.1003-9511.2026.02.012
基于系统动力学仿真模拟的重大水利工程创新绩效提升效应研究
The enhancement effect of innovation performance of major water conservancy projects based on system dynamics simulation
摘要
Abstract
Conventional linear innovation research methods are difficult to adapt to the complex problems faced by major water conservancy projects in technological R&D and management practices.Therefore,researching the innovation performance of major water conservancy projects has important theoretical significance and practical value for promoting the high-quality development of the water conservancy industry.Based on grounded theory,this paper systematically identifies the influencing factors of the innovation performance of major water conservancy projects and constructs a system dynamics model using the system dynamics method,thereby exploring the enhancement effect of key factors on the innovation performance of major water conservancy projects.The research results show that the project innovation performance is comprehensively influenced by three factors:technology,organization and environment;knowledge management has a significant enhancing effect on the innovation outcome and R&D management throughout the project lifecycle;institutional innovation shows a slow but persistent impact feature in the simulation;after the policy dividends accumulate continuously,the industry ecosystem can significantly improve the project innovation performance.关键词
重大水利工程/项目创新绩效/扎根理论/系统动力学Key words
major water conservancy projects/project innovation performance/grounded theory/system dynamics引用本文复制引用
薛松,葛丽丽,李晓薇,陈士静..基于系统动力学仿真模拟的重大水利工程创新绩效提升效应研究[J].水利经济,2026,44(2):117-125,9.基金项目
国家社会科学基金青年项目(15CJL023) （15CJL023）
中央高校基本科研业务费项目(人文专项)(2019B19614) （人文专项）
