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全球1970-2022年航运碳排放量:格局与演变

熊广森 李金龙 杨帆 沈兴凤 徐栋

水生态学杂志2026,Vol.47Issue(3):106-115,10.
水生态学杂志2026,Vol.47Issue(3):106-115,10.DOI:10.15928/j.1674-3075.202404180139

全球1970-2022年航运碳排放量:格局与演变

Global Shipping Carbon Emissions,1970-2022:Patterns and Evolution

熊广森 1李金龙 1杨帆 1沈兴凤 2徐栋3

作者信息

  • 1. 河北环境工程学院,河北秦皇岛 066102||入海河流及近岸海域生态修复河北省工程研究中心,河北秦皇岛 066102
  • 2. 北戴河区河湖长服务中心,河北秦皇岛 066199
  • 3. 新加坡国立大学地理系,新加坡 100875
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In this study,we explored the spatiotemporal evolution of global shipping carbon emissions from 1970 to 2022,based on the EDGAR v8.0 dataset and using Theil-Sen Median trend analysis and Mann-Kendall testing.Inland river data and port-specific emission inventories were also used to evaluate carbon contributions from river transport and major global ports.We aimed to provide a scientific founda-tion to transform shipping into a low-carbon industry.Results show:(1)Overall global shipping carbon emissions increased significantly over the study period,reflecting the growth of international trade and economic development.(2)High-emission clusters were concentrated in the coastal areas of Asia,Europe,and North America,particularly in East China,the Strait of Malacca,and the Mediterranean region.(3)A notable decline in shipping carbon emissions occurred during 2019-2020 due to reduced shipping de-mand caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.(4)China accounted for 51.3%of global river transport emis-sions in 2022,driven by its extensive network of inland waterways(8.73x 107t),while carbon emissions in the Russian Northern Sea Route declined persistently over the past 53 years due to environmental risks and rising operational costs.(5)The ports of Singapore emerged as the world's largest emitter,while sev-en Chinese ports,including Hong Kong,Shenzhen and Zhoushan,ranked among the top ten globally.Based on our analysis of spatiotemporal patterns of shipping carbon emissions,we recommend strengthen-ing international cooperation,sharing technologies and information,promoting global carbon reduction,and driving green transformation of the shipping industry in the context of globalization.Going forward,attention should be paid to carbon emission dynamics in the post-pandemic era and the need for high-reso-lution data.This research provides a reference for formulating global shipping carbon reduction policies and offers new opportunities and directions for sustainable development of the global shipping industry.

关键词

航运/河运/碳排放/港口/时空演变

Key words

global shipping/river transport/carbon emissions/ports/spatiotemporal evolution

分类

资源环境

引用本文复制引用

熊广森,李金龙,杨帆,沈兴凤,徐栋..全球1970-2022年航运碳排放量:格局与演变[J].水生态学杂志,2026,47(3):106-115,10.

基金项目

河北省高等学校科学技术研究项目(QN2024008). (QN2024008)

水生态学杂志

1674-3075

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