中国石油大学学报（社会科学版）2026，Vol.42Issue(2)：12-22,11.DOI:10.13216/j.cnki.upcjess.2026.02.0002
碳中和目标下中俄能源合作效应研究
Research on the Effects of China-Russia Energy Cooperation under the Carbon Neutrality Target
摘要
Abstract
Under the carbon neutrality target,China-Russia energy cooperation exhibits a dual effect in promoting economic growth while reducing carbon emission intensity.Based on data from 2000 to 2022,this study employs the Vector Autoregression(VAR)model to evaluate the impacts of traditional energy cooperation and the"traditional plus new"energy cooperation model on GDP growth and CO2 emissions in both China and Russia.The findings indicate that the contribution of traditional energy cooperation to economic growth is lower in China than in Russia,suggesting Russia̍s stronger reliance on conventional energy sources.Upon the introduction of new energy,the contribution rates of energy cooperation to both countries increase,with enhanced economic driving forces;however,Russia̍s dependence on traditional energy remains fundamentally unchanged.In terms of environmental outcomes,the"traditional plus new"energy cooperation model demonstrates a higher emission reduction contribution rate than the traditional model alone,highlighting the significant role of new energy cooperation in advancing carbon neutrality.From a long-term perspective,the marginal benefits of tra-ditional energy cooperation are diminishing,whereas the"traditional plus new"model shows greater growth potential,with new energy trade emerging as a focal point of bilateral cooperation.It is recommended to deepen the"traditional plus new"energy cooperation through bilateral agreements and special funds to facilitate the achievement of carbon neutrality goals.关键词
碳中和目标/中俄新能源合作/经济效应/环境效应/VAR模型Key words
carbon neutrality target/China-Russia new energy cooperation/economic effects/environmental effects/VAR model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
邹莉娜,穆春凤,任庆忠..碳中和目标下中俄能源合作效应研究[J].中国石油大学学报（社会科学版）,2026,42(2):12-22,11.基金项目
重庆市教委人文社会科学基金资助项目(21SKGH256) （21SKGH256）
