石油科学通报2026，Vol.11Issue(2)：643-663,21.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2096-1693.2026.01.017
中国油品出口贸易隐含碳测度、影响因素与碳排放责任分担研究
Measurement,driving factors,and carbon emission responsibility allocation of embodied carbon in China's petroleum product export trade
摘要
Abstract
Against the backdrop of global climate governance and the transition toward low-carbon development,increasing attention has been paid to carbon emissions embodied in international trade in energy products.As a typical carbon-intensive commodity,oil products pose pressing challenges in terms of carbon accounting,driving mechanisms,and responsibility allocation along cross-regional trade flows.Based on input-output theory,this study quantitatively estimates the embodied carbon emissions associated with China's oil product trade with its major trading partners and further examines their structural characteristics.Structural decomposition analysis(SDA)is employed to identify the key drivers behind changes in embodied carbon emissions and to explore feasible approaches for allocating carbon emission responsibilities across regions.The results indicate that,first,China's oil product exports are accompanied by a considerable scale of embodied carbon flows,with carbon emissions exhibiting a structurally increasing trend.Second,changes in embodied carbon emissions are jointly driven by export scale effects and structural effects,while technological effects partially offset the upward pressure on carbon emissions.Finally,the contribution of structural effects to embodied carbon growth has intensified in recent years,underscoring the importance of optimizing export product structures for the low-carbon transition of oil product trade.Based on these findings,this study proposes targeted policy implications.At the national level,efforts should focus on optimizing trade structures and promoting technological upgrading to accelerate the transformation of the domestic energy mix.At the international level,it is necessary to advance equitable responsibility sharing and cooperation,while enhancing data sharing and transparency in carbon emissions,thereby promoting harmonization and mutual recognition of standards in carbon data collection,accounting methodologies,and indicator systems across countries.关键词
油品贸易/隐含碳排放/投入产出分析/结构分解法/碳责任划分Key words
oil product trade/embodied carbon emissions/input-output analysis/structural decomposition analysis/carbon responsibility allocation分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
钱一晨,孙仁金..中国油品出口贸易隐含碳测度、影响因素与碳排放责任分担研究[J].石油科学通报,2026,11(2):643-663,21.基金项目
国家自然科学基金"能源绿色转型的路径与优化:基于生态足迹的视角"(72273151)资助 （72273151）
