新疆师范大学学报（自然科学版）2026，Vol.45Issue(3)：34-43,10.
新疆农业产业链韧性的区域差异及影响因素研究
Research on Regional Differences and Influencing Factors of Agricultural Industry Chain Resilience in Xinjiang
周书航 1董晔 1黄思源 2孟祥棋 3于淼3
作者信息
- 1. 新疆师范大学 商学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830017
- 2. 库尔勒经济技术开发区管理委员会,新疆 库尔勒 841000
- 3. 新疆师范大学 地理科学与旅游学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830017
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
Based on panel data from 14 prefectures and cities in Xinjiang from 2013 to 2022,an evaluation index system for agricultural industry chain resilience was constructed within the regional economic resilience framework.The entropy weight method,Dagum Gini coefficient and Markov chain were used to study the regional differences and evolutionary characteristics of the agricultural industry chain's resilience.Optimal parameters based geographical detectors was employed to explore the main influencing factors.The results show that:(1)During the study period,the resilience of Xinjiang's agricultural industry chain increased steadily,with an overall growth of approximately 1.5 times.Resilience in eastern Xinjiang showed a slight upward trend within the low-value range,while resilienee in southern and northern Xinjiang exhibited fluctuating upward trajectories;(2)Regional disparities in the resilience level of Xinjiang's agricultural industry chain persistently widened,ultimately forming a gradient distribution pattern of Southern Xinjiang＞Northern Xinjiang＞Eastern Xinjiang;(3)The agricultural industry chain resilience demonstrated robust stability and evolutionary potential,attributable to two core dimension:Resistance effectively mitigating risks of regression in the agricultural industry chain and reinforcement driving industrial upgrading and restructuring.Key influencing factors were identified as full-time equivalent of agricultural R&D Personnel,fixed asset investment,total agricultural output,grain production capacity and digital financial index.关键词
农业产业链韧性/区域差异/地理探测器模型Key words
Agricultural industry chain resilience/Regional differences/Gographical detector model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
周书航,董晔,黄思源,孟祥棋,于淼..新疆农业产业链韧性的区域差异及影响因素研究[J].新疆师范大学学报（自然科学版）,2026,45(3):34-43,10.
