新疆师范大学学报（自然科学版）2026，Vol.45Issue(3)：57-65,9.
人口老龄化对劳动参与率的影响研究
Research on the Impact of Population Aging on Labor Participation Rate
摘要
Abstract
Since the reform and opening up,abundant labor resources have provided an important driving force for China's economic growth.In recent years,China's population aging process has continued to accelerate,and Xinjiang has also shown population aging.Based on the time series data of population aging and labor participation rate in Xinjiang from 2000 to 2020,this paper systematically analyzes the impact of population aging on labor participation rate by using multiple linear regression model and moderating effect model.The results of OLS regression and adjustment effect test show that population aging has a significant inhibitory effect on labor participation rate,and low birth rate will aggravate this effect.Population mobility strengthens the negative impact of population aging on labor participation rate;The improvement of education level and the development of tertiary industry can effectively alleviate the impact of population aging.Based on this,policy recommendations are put forward:innovating regional education cooperation and employment training to improve the quality of labor supply;promote industrial upgrading and build a solid economic foundation;build a policy system to guide population mobility and talent retention;strengthen public services such as education and medical care.关键词
人口老龄化/劳动力供给/劳动参与率Key words
Population aging/Labor supply/Labor participation rate分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
李智雯..人口老龄化对劳动参与率的影响研究[J].新疆师范大学学报（自然科学版）,2026,45(3):57-65,9.基金项目
新疆师范大学智库招标课题(ZK202318C). （ZK202318C）
