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国土空间规划体系下的城市人口规模:老问题、新体系、再认知

王新哲 薛皓颖 刘振宇

城市规划学刊Issue(1):29-35,7.
城市规划学刊Issue(1):29-35,7.DOI:10.16361/j.upf.202601004

国土空间规划体系下的城市人口规模:老问题、新体系、再认知

Urban Population Size in the Territorial Spatial Planning System:Enduring Challenges,New Frameworks,and Reconceptualization

王新哲 1薛皓颖 2刘振宇3

作者信息

  • 1. 上海同济城市规划设计研究院有限公司||自然资源部国土空间智能规划技术重点实验室
  • 2. 上海同济城市规划设计研究院有限公司
  • 3. 上海同济城市规划设计研究院有限公司空间规划研究院||自然资源部国土空间智能规划技术重点实验室
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

During the compilation period of territorial spatial master plans,the pro-jected population figures in most urban plans remain inflated.The aggregate popula-tion sizes from municipal-level master plans consistently exceed those outlined in provincial-level plans,resulting in a systematic upward distortion in population size transmission.Meanwhile,indicators such as per capita construction land use fail to match actual population figures,rendering these values nominal.This paper argues that these phenomena reflect outdated thinking within the new system:a misconcep-tion of population size,equating it with statistical population;insufficient recognition of the systemic nature of territorial spatial planning,leading to an overemphasis on consistency across planning levels;and inadequate adaptability of static planning to dynamic population flows.On this basis,the paper proposes that the treatment of"population size"should fit the new system:by distinguishing the policy implica-tions of"population size"across planning levels;abandoning the pursuit of precise numerical correspondence;and optimizing human-land relationships through more re-fined management approaches.It is hoped that these reflections will offer useful ref-erences for improving plan compilation at various levels,improving the data logic of the"one-map"system,and enhancing the refined governance capacity of planning.

关键词

人口规模/规划体系/国土空间"形"与"流"/政策选择

Key words

population size/planning system/territorial spatial"form"and"flow"/policy choices

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

王新哲,薛皓颖,刘振宇..国土空间规划体系下的城市人口规模:老问题、新体系、再认知[J].城市规划学刊,2026,(1):29-35,7.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金面上项目:要素流动视角下长三角地区"增长-收缩"空间格局的形成机制与规划响应(项目编号:52578094)资助 (项目编号:52578094)

城市规划学刊

OACHSSCD

1000-3363

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