环境与职业医学2026，Vol.43Issue(4)：451-457,7.DOI:10.11836/JEOM25419
2016-2020年兰州市二氧化硫暴露对慢性阻塞性肺病患者入院影响的时间序列研究
Time series study on influence of sulfur dioxide exposure on hospitalization of chronic obstruc-tive pulmonary disease in Lanzhou from 2016 to 2020
摘要
Abstract
[Background]In 2021,chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)emerged as the forth leading cause of death in the world.However,the impact of air pollutants on COPD is still inconsistent across current studies. [Objective]To analyze the relationship between ambient sulfur dioxide(SO2)exposure and hos-pital admissions for COPD in Lanzhou,and to examine the modified effects of SO2 across different genders,age groups,and seasons. [Methods]A total of 20 718 hospital admission records for COPD were collected from Lanzhou between 2016 and 2020,alongside synchronized data on SO2 concentration and meteorological variables.A generalized additive model integrated with a distributed lag nonlinear model was used to assess the relationship and the lag effects between SO2 exposure and COPD admissions.Potential confounders,including meteorological factors,day-of-the-week effect,and holidays,were controlled for,with a maximum lag period set at 7 d.Two-pollutant models and sensitivity analyses were conducted to ensure robustness.Results are expressed as relative risks(RR)with 95％confidence intervals(95％CI). [Results]During the study period,the average daily number of COPD admissions was 11.34±7.03.The average mass concentration of SO2 was(23.72±12.35)μg·m-3.SO2 exposure was positively correlated with COPD admissions;specifically,each 10 μg·m-3 increase in SO2 concen-tration was associated with an RR of 1.440(95％CI:1.317,1.573).Stratified analyses found that at a cumulative lag of 7 d,the RRs were higher among females,individuals aged≥65 years,and during the cold season.Conversely,no significant increase in COPD admission risk related to SO2 was observed during the warm season.For every 10 μg·m-3 increase in SO2 concentration,the RR was 1.483(95％CI:1.311,1.678)for females,1.441(95％CI:1.311,1.583)for those aged>65 years,and 1.595(95％CI:1.313,1.937)during the cold season. [Conclusion]Short-term exposure to ambient SO2 exposure in Lanzhou is associated with an increased risk of COPD admission.The asso-ciation is more pronounced among females,the elderly(aged>65 years)and during the cold season.关键词
慢性阻塞性肺病/二氧化硫/入院人数/广义加性模型/分布滞后非线性模型Key words
chronic obstructive pulmonary disease/sulfur dioxide/hospital admission/generalized additivity model/distributed lag nonlinear model分类
医药卫生引用本文复制引用
林昇,冯渤曦,李永悦,黄怡炜,郑锴,刘铭轩,杨盈盈,魏兴民,吴建军..2016-2020年兰州市二氧化硫暴露对慢性阻塞性肺病患者入院影响的时间序列研究[J].环境与职业医学,2026,43(4):451-457,7.基金项目
甘肃省联合科研基金重大项目(24JRRA876) （24JRRA876）
2025年度甘肃中医药大学研究生"创新创业基金"项目(2025CXCY-060) （2025CXCY-060）
