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乡村振兴发展水平测度、区域差异及演变趋势分析

李奇津 卫盼怡 游程宇

台湾农业探索Issue(1):29-40,12.
台湾农业探索Issue(1):29-40,12.DOI:10.16006/j.cnki.twnt.2026.01.004

乡村振兴发展水平测度、区域差异及演变趋势分析

Analysis on the Measurement,Regional Differences and Evolution Trends of Rural Revitalization Development Level

李奇津 1卫盼怡 1游程宇1

作者信息

  • 1. 福建师范大学数学与统计学院,福建 福州 350117
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

[Objective/Meaning]The strategy of rural revitalization is the general starting point for solving the problems of agriculture,rural areas and farmers,and also an important way to achieve common prosperity.The purpose of this paper is to systematically evaluate the level of rural revitalization and development in Fujian Province by constructing an evaluation system for rural revitalization and integrating the dynamic measurement methods,and to explore its regional differences and evolution trends,so as to provide scientific basis and decision-making reference for optimizing the regional rural revitalization strategies.[Methods/Procedures]21 secondary indicators from five dimensions were selected to construct the evaluation system of rural revitalization,and a new dynamic measurement method was integrated based on the entropy weight-G1 order relation method,TOPSIS method and minimum variance method.Through the kernel density analysis,obstacle degree model and Markov chain,the development level,regional differences and evolution trend of rural revitalization in nine prefecture-level cities of Fujian Province from 2000 to 2023 were explored.[Results/Conclusions]The results showed that:(1)During the study period,the overall development level of rural revitalization in Fujian Province showed an upward trend,forming a development pattern where Fuzhou and Xiamen took the lead,with other prefecture-level cities following closely.(2)The total power of agricultural machinery per capita and agricultural labor productivity have always been the core obstacle factors restricting the development of the province.(3)The demand for ecological governance in Fujian Province has become increasingly prominent,with the upgrading of rural development stages,and the evolution of rural revitalization level exhibited strong inertia.Based on the above conclusions,the countermeasures were put forward,such as focusing on solving the common bottlenecks of industries,narrowing the gap of regional development,and dynamically optimizing the governance strategies,so as to promote the high-quality coordinated development of rural revitalization in the whole province.

关键词

乡村振兴/水平测度/障碍度模型/马尔科夫链/福建省

Key words

rural revitalization/horizontal measurement/obstacle factor model/Markov chain/Fujian Province

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

李奇津,卫盼怡,游程宇..乡村振兴发展水平测度、区域差异及演变趋势分析[J].台湾农业探索,2026,(1):29-40,12.

基金项目

2025年福建省大学生创新创业训练计划项目资助(S202510394030) (S202510394030)

福建师范大学2025年大学生创新创业训练计划项目资助(cxxl-2025311). (cxxl-2025311)

台湾农业探索

OACHSSCD

1673-5617

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