干旱区资源与环境2026，Vol.40Issue(5)：1-11,11.DOI:10.13448/j.cnki.jalre.2026.074
基于产业结构优化的多环境要素目标间冲突与协同研究
Conflict and synergy among multiple environmental targets under industrial structure optimization:Evidence from Zhejiang Province
摘要
Abstract
With the increasing costs of end-of-pipe pollution control and the implementation of green development strategies at this development stage,industrial structure adjustment has become an important means for pollutant prevention and control.Considering that industrial structure adjustment strategies may conflict or be antagonistic under the constraints of different environmental element targets,a reasonable structural emission reduction strategy is particularly critical.As a pilot demonstration zone for"Beautiful China"construction,Zhejiang Province's industrial structure adjustment and multi-environmental element collaborative governance are typical and policy-oriented,so it is selected as the research object.Based on the dynamic input-output method,a multi-objective optimization model is constructed,and the LMDI decomposition model is used to clarify the emission reduction tasks of industrial structure adjustment.The results of scenario studies and comparative analyses with different environmental element targets as constraints reveal that:a regulation strategy with a single NOx total amount as the environmental target will lead to an 11.68％increase in total COD emissions,with changes in the agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry,fishery products,and services sector being the main reason.A regulation strategy with the COD total amount as the environmental target will cause a 2.49％increase in total NOx emissions,among which the transportation,storage,and postal sector is the most important source of contribution.It is worth noting that both of the above strategies can achieve the CO2 intensity control target.However,if the CO2 intensity is taken as the target,it will result in NOx and COD emissions increasing by 11.75％and 7.85％,respectively.The research findings can provide refined decision-making support for the coordinated governance of"multi-sector-multi-pollutant"systems.关键词
产业结构调整/协同减排/多目标优化/投入产出/LMDI分解Key words
industrial structure adjustment/synergistic emission reduction/multi-objective optimization/input-output analysis/LMDI decomposition分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
黄玉洁,亓秋月,赵圃婕,林倩如,王奇..基于产业结构优化的多环境要素目标间冲突与协同研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2026,40(5):1-11,11.基金项目
国家重点研发计划(2021YFC3101704)资助. （2021YFC3101704）
