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基于改进Shapley值模型的风光储容量共享运营模式及收益分配研究

王风云 骆士杰 钱萍

干旱区资源与环境2026,Vol.40Issue(5):23-35,13.
干旱区资源与环境2026,Vol.40Issue(5):23-35,13.DOI:10.13448/j.cnki.jalre.2026.076

基于改进Shapley值模型的风光储容量共享运营模式及收益分配研究

Wind-PV-storage capacity sharing operation mode and benefit allocation:An approach of improved Shapley value model

王风云 1骆士杰 2钱萍2

作者信息

  • 1. 北京石油化工学院人文社科学院,北京 102617||北京现代产业新区发展研究基地,北京 102617
  • 2. 北京石油化工学院经济管理学院,北京 102617
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The construction of a new power system urgently requires the collaborative development of wind power,photovoltaic power,and energy storage.However,the current collaborative development of wind-PV-storage is confronted with such problems as a low level of marketization,high risks in operational modes,and an imperfect benefit allocation mechanism.To address these issues,a wind-PV-storage capacity sharing operation mode was proposed based on the volatility and complementary relationship between wind and photovoltaic power outputs.An investment return function and economic evaluation indicators were established,and an improved Shapley value model was constructed by incorporating the risk-bearing factor,cooperation-contribution factor,and synergy-sharing factor.A case study in Jiangsu Province was conducted to perform simulation and benefit allocation analysis.The results indicate that the wind-PV-storage capacity sharing operation mode can improve the utilization rate of wind power and photovoltaic power,reduce the financial risks of wind and photovoltaic power generation enterprises,and enable capacity leasing to achieve better economic benefits under this mode.The application of the improved Shapley value model for benefit allocation increases the profit of shared energy storage operators by 25.2%.Multi-scenario analysis indicates that for shared energy storage operators,the net present value increases,the dynamic payback period shortens and the financial internal rate of return improves.Based on these findings,countermeasures and suggestions were put forward,including promoting the wind-PV-storage capacity sharing operation mode,optimizing the benefit allocation mechanism of shared energy storage,and facilitating the cross-regional energy storage capacity market transactions.The findings offer important references for formulating development strategies of shared energy storage and promoting the coordinated development of wind power,photovoltaic power,and energy storage.

关键词

共享储能/风光发电/容量共享运营模式/改进的Shapley值模型/利益分配

Key words

shared energy storage/wind and photovoltaic power generation/capacity sharing operation mode/improved Shapley value model/benefit distribution

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

王风云,骆士杰,钱萍..基于改进Shapley值模型的风光储容量共享运营模式及收益分配研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2026,40(5):23-35,13.

基金项目

北京市自然科学基金项目(9264024)资助. (9264024)

干旱区资源与环境

OACHSSCD

1003-7578

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