国际论坛2026，Vol.28Issue(3)：61-78,18.DOI:10.13549/j.cnki.cn11-3959/d.2026.03.004
"科技加速主义"与美对华"技术脱钩"悖论:基于半导体与AI产业的实证分析
The Paradox of Techno-Accelerationism and U.S.-China Technological Decoupling:An Empirical Analysis Based on Semiconductor and AI Industries
摘要
Abstract
In recent years,the United States has imposed sweeping export controls and investment restrictions on China in semiconductors and artificial intelligence,seeking to maintain technological leadership through"decoupling".American policy discourse frequently invokes"techno-accelerationism"—the idea that accelerating technological iteration ensures national competitive advantage-yet this ideology has been significantly distorted in practice.The core mechanisms of techno-accelerationism depend on network effects,economies of scale,and the free flow of knowledge,while technological decoupling adopts exclusionary closure,creating a fundamental tension on the logical foundation of the strategy.Empirical analysis of the semiconductor and AI industries reveals a triple paradox:containment has not slowed China's technological progress but instead triggered a"pressure-breakthrough"mechanism that accelerates catch-up;decoupling undermines the very network effects and economies of scale upon which technological acceleration depends;and the United States itself has paid a significant price through market contraction,talent drain,and the weakening of its innovation networks.Truly sustainable technological leadership must be built on open competition,multilateral governance,and knowledge sharing.关键词
科技加速主义/中美技术脱钩/半导体产业/人工智能/创新悖论Key words
Techno-accelerationism/U.S.-China technology decoupling/semiconductor industry/Artificial Intelligence/innovation paradox分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
朱兆一,杨盈竹.."科技加速主义"与美对华"技术脱钩"悖论:基于半导体与AI产业的实证分析[J].国际论坛,2026,28(3):61-78,18.基金项目
本文为2022年北京社科基金项目(编号:22ZGC009)的阶段性成果. （编号:22ZGC009）
