海洋开发与管理2026，Vol.43Issue(2)：13-29,17.
船舶航运碳排放核算及驱动因素研究进展
A Review on Estimation and Driving Forces of Carbon Emissions in Ship Transportation
摘要
Abstract
The ship transportation is one of the critical and complex sectors in global greenhouse gas emission reduction.The accurate estimation of its carbon emissions and identification of key driving factors are fundamental to achieving net-zero emission targets.However,a systematic review of the applicability and limitations of various accounting methodologies is still lacking.This review synthesizes carbon emission factors from domestic and international research and establishes a multidimensional emission factor database.It provides a comprehensive review of the characteristics and shortcomings of predominant carbon emission estimation methods for shipping.The system boundaries of life cycle assessment and the carbon footprints of alternative fuels are summarized,highlighting the fundamental significance of shifting from a"Tank-to-Wake"to a"Well-to-Wake"life cycle assessment framework.It also elaborates on approaches for identifying and quantifying key emission drivers.The sources of uncertainty in shipping carbon emission estimation are further analyzed.This analysis clearly indicates that inadequate data quality and insufficient representation of dynamic operation are the core bottlenecks constraining accurate carbon accounting.This review proposes that future research should prioritize developing a multivariate and dynamic emission factor database,advancing integrated accounting frameworks incorporating multiple driving factors,exploring synergistic pathways for pollution reduction and carbon mitigation in shipping,and instituting a holistic life-cycle carbon footprint evaluation framework for shipping.These efforts aim to provide a scientific basis for promoting the shipping industry's transition toward green and net-zero operations.关键词
二氧化碳/船舶航运/排放因子/排放估算/全生命周期评价Key words
Carbon dioxide/Ship transportation/Emission factors/Emission estimation/Life cycle assessment分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
黎倚晴,李勤勤,李腾飞,梁叶,谌治,王灿,方卫阳,李国卫,王好..船舶航运碳排放核算及驱动因素研究进展[J].海洋开发与管理,2026,43(2):13-29,17.基金项目
广东省海洋经济发展专项GDNRC[2024]40. （）
