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北方单作区马铃薯高温干旱及其复合事件的时空变化趋势

李扬 王靖 王培娟 张源达 马雪晴 尹红

气象与环境学报2026,Vol.42Issue(1):20-32,13.
气象与环境学报2026,Vol.42Issue(1):20-32,13.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2026.01.003

北方单作区马铃薯高温干旱及其复合事件的时空变化趋势

Spatiotemporal variation trends of high temperature,drought,and their compound events of potato in the North Single planting region

李扬 1王靖 2王培娟 1张源达 1马雪晴 3尹红4

作者信息

  • 1. 沈阳农业与生态气象研究院,北京 100081
  • 2. 中国农业大学资源与环境学院,北京 100193
  • 3. 中国气象局气象发展与规划院,北京 100081
  • 4. 国家气候中心,北京 100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Climate warming had a significant adverse impact on potato growing in the North Single planting re-gion.Based on the meteorological data from 676 stations during 1961-2020 and potato phenology information,this study quantified the spatiotemporal trends of high temperatures,droughts,and their compound events across differ-ent growth periods of potato in the North Single planting region by using the crop water deficit index(CWDI),heat degree days(HDD),and compound heat-drought index(CHDI).Results indicate that the CWDI during the whole growth period of potato in North Single planting region gradually decreases from west to east.The CWDI during tuber formation period is higher than during the vegetative growth period and tuber bulking period.The av-erage CWDI during 1991-2020 shows a decrease trend compared to that during 1961-1990.The HDD during the whole growth period of potato generally decreases with increasing latitude.The HDD in Qinghai,Liaoning,and Heilongjiang is lower than in other regions.From 1991-2020,the HDD during the vegetative growth,tuber forma-tion,and tuber bulking period of potato in the region increased by 25-38%compared to the 1961-1990 period.Po-tato planted in Qinghai and northeastern China are less affected by compound heat-drought events,while the inten-sity of compound heat-drought event is typically slight and moderate in other regions.However,the intensity of compound heat-drought event in Xinjiang,Shaanxi,and Hebei are predominantly moderate and severe.Climate warming have increaded the area naffected by compound heat-drought events for potato planting in this region by 64%,while the area experiencing severe compound heat-drought events has increased by 93%.Excluding Xin-jiang,potato yields in North Single planting region exhibit a significant negative correlation with the CWDI during the vegetative growth period and the HDD and CHDI during the tuber formation period(P<0.05).This study quantifies the spatiotemporal trends of drought,high temperature,and the compound heat-drought event across vari-ous growth periods of potato in North Single planting region,and providing scientific insights to support climate risk avoidance and yield stability of potato under climate warming.

关键词

水分亏缺指数/热积温/高温干旱复合事件/马铃薯/北方单作区

Key words

CWDI/Heat degree day/Compound heat-drought event/Potato/North Single planting region

分类

农业科技

引用本文复制引用

李扬,王靖,王培娟,张源达,马雪晴,尹红..北方单作区马铃薯高温干旱及其复合事件的时空变化趋势[J].气象与环境学报,2026,42(1):20-32,13.

基金项目

国家自然青年科学基金项目(42505191)、中国气象局创新发展专项(CXFZ2026QA12)、中国气象科学研究院基本科研业务费专项基金项目(2024Y011、2023Z014)和中国气象局农业气象重点创新团队(CMA2024ZD02)共同资助. (42505191)

气象与环境学报

1673-503X

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