指挥控制与仿真2026，Vol.48Issue(3)：11-17,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1673-3819.2026.03.002
面向防守作战的来袭目标威胁评估
Threat assessment of incoming targets for defensive operations
摘要
Abstract
A target threat assessment method based on Weighted Dynamic Bayesian Network(WDBN)and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution(TOPSIS)is proposed for threat assessment of incoming targets in defen-sive operations.First,select threat assessment indicators and analyze the inherent correlation between the indicators.Dis-cretize the indicators and use the combination weighting method to obtain the comprehensive weight of the indicators.Sec-ond,construct a DBN for threat level inference and incorporate the comprehensive weights of the indicators into the condi-tional probability table.Finally,in response to the sorting difficulty of DBN,the TOPSIS method is introduced to sort the in-ference results of WDBN.Compared with directly using the DBN,simulation results show that the algorithm proposed in this paper is more in line with the actual battlefield situation.关键词
威胁评估/加权动态贝叶斯网络/逼近理想解排序法/组合赋权/威胁排序Key words
threat assessment/weighted dynamic Bayesian network/TOPSIS/combination weighting method/threat se-quencing分类
军事科技引用本文复制引用
翟明圆,应淮冰,王武阳,何立栋..面向防守作战的来袭目标威胁评估[J].指挥控制与仿真,2026,48(3):11-17,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(61973163) （61973163）
