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水稻适应与减缓气候变化研究进展与展望

王斌 袁珅 张梦 徐源 尚子吟 魏欣宇 蔡文倩 秦玥 李玉娥 彭少兵

气候变化研究进展2026,Vol.22Issue(2):224-243,20.
气候变化研究进展2026,Vol.22Issue(2):224-243,20.DOI:10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2025.229

水稻适应与减缓气候变化研究进展与展望

Progress and prospects in rice adaptation and mitigation to climate change

王斌 1袁珅 2张梦 2徐源 3尚子吟 4魏欣宇 5蔡文倩 6秦玥 7李玉娥 1彭少兵2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国农业科学院农业环境与可持续发展研究所,北京 100081
  • 2. 作物遗传改良全国重点实验室/湖北洪山实验室/农业农村部长江中游作物生理生态与耕作重点实验室/华中农业大学植物科学技术学院,武汉 430070
  • 3. 中国气象局国家气候中心,北京 100081
  • 4. 中国农业科学院作物科学研究所,北京 100081
  • 5. 农业农村部农业生态与资源保护总站,北京 100125
  • 6. 生态环境部土壤与农业农村生态环境监管技术中心,北京 100012
  • 7. 先正达集团中国,北京 100069
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Under climate change,rice production faces the dual challenges of sustaining yield stability and reducing greenhouse gas emissions.Achieving yield stability under climate change without exacerbating emissions has therefore become a central challenge for sustainable rice systems.This review synthesizes recent advances in understanding how climate change influences rice physiological and ecological processes,as well as yield and quality formation.We further consolidate current knowledge on methane(CH4)and nitrous oxide(N2O)emissions from paddy fields,highlighting their biogeochemical mechanisms,temporal dynamics,and the critical regulatory roles of water management,nitrogen inputs,and organic carbon availability.Building on these mechanistic insights,we systematically evaluate major adaptation and mitigation strategies,including stress-tolerant and low-emission varietal improvement,optimized irrigation regimes(e.g.,alternate wetting and drying with risk-sensitive thresholds),precision nutrient management and enhanced-efficiency fertilizers,cropping system optimization(such as ratoon rice and diversified rotations),and straw management through incorporation,partial removal,or biochar conversion.Comparative analysis indicates that efficiency-enhancing practices,particularly coordinated water-nitrogen management,ratoon-based systems,and digital decision-support tools,often generate synergistic benefits for both yield stability and emission reduction.In contrast,several widely adopted practices exhibit strong context dependency and may involve trade-offs,most notably CH4-N2O substitution under intermittent irrigation and increased CH4 emissions following straw return under prolonged flooding.We identify critical constraints limiting large-scale implementation,including regional heterogeneity in infrastructure and management capacity,uncertainties under compound climate extremes,insufficient long-term evidence linking productivity,grain quality,and emissions,high monitoring and verification costs,and weak economic incentives for farmers.Future research priorities include establishing long-term,multi-site experimental networks across major rice-producing regions,strengthening the coupling of field observations with process-based modeling for robust scenario assessment,and developing multi-dimensional assessment frameworks that integrate yield stability,grain quality,greenhouse gas emissions,resource-use efficiency,and farm-level economic resilience.Coordinated policy instruments that integrate irrigation governance,extension services,risk sharing mechanisms,and credible monitoring,reporting and verification systems will be essential to accelerate the transition toward climate resilient,high yielding,and low-carbon rice production systems.

关键词

气候变化/水稻/温室气体排放/适应/减缓/气候韧性

Key words

Climate change/Rice/Greenhouse gas emissions/Adaptation/Mitigation/Climate resilience

引用本文复制引用

王斌,袁珅,张梦,徐源,尚子吟,魏欣宇,蔡文倩,秦玥,李玉娥,彭少兵..水稻适应与减缓气候变化研究进展与展望[J].气候变化研究进展,2026,22(2):224-243,20.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金国际合作项目(T2261129473) (T2261129473)

国家自然科学基金面上项目(42475204) (42475204)

中央高校基本科研业务经费(2662024JC012) (2662024JC012)

中国农科院青年创新专项与科技创新工程(Y2024QC07,2060302) (Y2024QC07,2060302)

湖北省青年拔尖人才培养计划 ()

中国气象局气候变化专题项目(QBZJ202603) (QBZJ202603)

气候变化研究进展

1673-1719

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