气候变化研究进展2026，Vol.22Issue(2)：252-257,6.DOI:10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2025.255
2025全球碳中和进展评估及模式分类
Global carbon neutrality progress assessment and typology classification in 2025
摘要
Abstract
As the tenth anniversary of the Paris Agreement,global climate governance has shifted from'commitment to targets' to'implementation of actions' .Systematic evaluation of national climate progress is essential for achieving the Agreement's targets.This study uses 217 indicators from 198 countries and regions to build a comprehensive assessment framework covering target,policy,action,and effectiveness.The results show that,between 2024 and 2025,the global carbon neutrality process is characterized by steady progress in target and policy,stagnation in action,and limited effectiveness in emission reductions.Progress in target and policy reflects a continued global trend toward green transformation,despite fluctuations in some countries.The lack of visible emission reductions is mainly due to insufficient policy enforcement and delays in technological implementation.Based on target and effectiveness performance,countries are grouped into four groups:climate leaders,low-key achievers,transition challengers and emerging players.In 2025,92 countries shifted between these groups,showing pronounced dynamics.This study provides insights into the differences and changes in national approaches to climate goals,policy,and technology,contributing to global climate governance.关键词
气候变化/全球盘点/碳中和进展Key words
Climate change/Global stocktake/Progress in carbon neutrality引用本文复制引用
李子琛,张天翼,张诗卉,郑馨竺,王灿..2025全球碳中和进展评估及模式分类[J].气候变化研究进展,2026,22(2):252-257,6.基金项目
国家自然科学基金委专项项目(72348001) （72348001）
中国科协青年人才托举工程项目(YESS20230197) （YESS20230197）
