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突破参数范围限制:梯度下降法在水文模型率定中的优势

高帅 黄雯琦 郑徽峰 黄跃飞

水力发电学报2026,Vol.45Issue(5):30-43,14.
水力发电学报2026,Vol.45Issue(5):30-43,14.DOI:10.11660/slfdxb.20260503

突破参数范围限制:梯度下降法在水文模型率定中的优势

Overcoming parameter boundary constraints.Advantages of gradient descent algorithms in hydrological model calibration

高帅 1黄雯琦 2郑徽峰 3黄跃飞4

作者信息

  • 1. 福州大学 土木工程学院,福州 350108
  • 2. 福州大学 土木工程学院,福州 350108||河海大学 水文水资源学院,南京 210098
  • 3. 三明市水利局,福建 三明 365000
  • 4. 清华大学 水圈科学与水利工程全国重点实验室,北京 100084
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Parameter calibration for process-driven hydrological models has long predominantly relied on traditional optimization algorithms such as Genetic Algorithms,while relatively fewer previous studies focused on parameter optimization based on the gradient descent methods.This study aims to examine the applicability of gradient descent algorithms in this field and compare their performance systematically against traditional optimization algorithms.We calibrate the parameters of the Hydrologiska Byråns Vattenbalansavdelning(HBV)model using six optimization methods-three gradient descent(GD)algorithms of Adam,AMSGrad,and Adadelta,and three traditional optimization algorithms of Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolution Strategy(CMA-ES),Adaptive Simulated Annealing(ASA),and Genetic Algorithm(GA).The results indicate the GD algorithms are better in computational efficiency and simulation stability.They raise runoff fitting accuracy or Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency(NSE)by roughly 0.01-0.02 compared to traditional algorithms,and reduce Top Peak Error(TPE)by up to 23%.And,they can explore adaptively beyond initial parameter constraints-different from the traditional optimization algorithms that heavily rely on predefined parameter ranges-so that they are effective in guiding parameters toward a more physically reasonable space and significantly reducing dependence on parameter specification.This study has achieved an effective approach for hydrological model parameter optimization,useful for further theoretical or practical studies.

关键词

HBV模型/梯度下降/参数率定/洪水模拟

Key words

HBV model/gradient descent/parameter calibration/flood simulation

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

高帅,黄雯琦,郑徽峰,黄跃飞..突破参数范围限制:梯度下降法在水文模型率定中的优势[J].水力发电学报,2026,45(5):30-43,14.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(52409014) (52409014)

水力发电学报

1003-1243

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