数字图书馆论坛2026，Vol.22Issue(2)：63-72,10.DOI:10.3772/j.issn.1673-2286.2026.02.007
基于情景分析的人工智能赋能智慧城市信息服务风险治理研究
Risk Governance of AI-Enabled Smart City Information Services Based on Scenario Analysis
摘要
Abstract
In order to identify the multiple risks of artificial intelligence application in information services,targeted governance strategies are proposed to help the high quality and sustainable development of smart cities.First,we use scenario analysis to construct application scenarios of artificial intelligence empowering smart city information services,and set scenario baselines.Then,we establish a risk framework and identify risk factors.Key drivers and uncertainties are also identified through environmental analysis.Finally,we analyze and propose governance principles and countermeasures for future scenarios.This paper depicts the composition and risk characteristics of application scenarios,constructs four future scenarios(inclusive good governance,technological islands,inclusive exploration,and disorderly crisis),and proposes a risk governance framework based on collaborative governance and stage-gate.This framework integrates differentiated domain priorities and scenario characteristics,balancing innovation development with risk prevention,thereby providing a theoretical reference for the construction of a safe and reliable smart city information service system.关键词
智慧城市/信息服务/人工智能/情景分析/风险治理Key words
Smart City/Information Service/Artificial Intelligence/Scenario Analysis/Risk Governance分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
郭骅,董怡彤,李辉..基于情景分析的人工智能赋能智慧城市信息服务风险治理研究[J].数字图书馆论坛,2026,22(2):63-72,10.基金项目
本研究得到国家社会科学基金项目"人工智能赋能数智城市的信息服务与治理研究"(编号:24BTQ056)资助. （编号:24BTQ056）
