中国电机工程学报2026，Vol.46Issue(9)：3504-3523,中插2,21.DOI:10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.242702
计及电力气象的"源-网-荷"影响评估与电力系统规划方法综述
A Review of Power System Planning Method and Impact Assessment of"Source-grid-load"Integrating Electric Meteorology
摘要
Abstract
The global temperature rises and the frequent occurrence of extreme weather events induced by climate change will have significant impacts on the whole process of power generation,transmission and distribution,and load side of the power system.Most existing studies regard meteorological data as the boundary conditions of power planning and operation.However,few studies have focused on summarizing the key technologies of climate models and impact assessment of'source-grid-load'in addressing the data requirements of emerging power system planning models.To bridge this gap,the study first summarizes the key technologies of climate models for predicting future meteorological data and extreme weather events.Second,from the perspective of long-term climate change,the typical application paradigms of climate change are reviewed in wind and solar potential assessments and load demand forecasting.Third,from the perspective of short-term extreme weather events,the mechanisms,and evaluations of their impacts-such as tropical cyclones,floods,extreme temperature events,and wildfires—are summarized on various aspects of the power system.Furthermore,the interplay and applications of climate models in power system planning are reviewed to address the needs of energy analysis,modeling,and resilience assessment.Finally,this study proposes research directions for power system planning for climate adaptation.The interdisciplinary integration of electrical engineering and meteorology is explored,offering insights for future research.关键词
气候变化/电力系统规划/新型电力系统/极端天气/气候模型/韧性评估Key words
climate change/power system planning/new power system/extreme weather/climate model/resilience assessment分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
黎博,杜尔顺,蔡兆丰,刘银艳,雍阳阳,于若涛,钟海旺..计及电力气象的"源-网-荷"影响评估与电力系统规划方法综述[J].中国电机工程学报,2026,46(9):3504-3523,中插2,21.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(52277106) （52277106）
广西科技基地和人才专项(GKAD23026216) （GKAD23026216）
广西自然科学基金项目(2024JJB160089).Project Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(52277106) （2024JJB160089）
The Specific Research Project of Guangxi for Research Bases and Talents(GKAD23026216) （GKAD23026216）
Natural Science Foundation of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region(2024JJB160089). （2024JJB160089）
