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美以伊战事演进及其对全球地缘政治格局的影响

陆如泉 张秀玲 李博媛 聂正雅

国际石油经济2026,Vol.34Issue(5):1-8,48,9.
国际石油经济2026,Vol.34Issue(5):1-8,48,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-7298.2026.05.001

美以伊战事演进及其对全球地缘政治格局的影响

The evolution of the U.S.-Israel-Iran War and its impact on the global geopolitical landscape

陆如泉 1张秀玲 1李博媛 1聂正雅2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国石油集团经济技术研究院
  • 2. 中国石油集团国际部
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

On February 28,2026,the United States and Israel jointly launched preemptive military strikes against Iran,aiming to advance the"New Middle East"strategy through rapid military operations in order to change Iranian regime,weaken its military capabilities,as well as control over strategic passages and energy supplies in the Middle East.However,the campaign suffered from severe strategic miscalculations,marked by inadequate preparation,poor coordination,and lack of strategic follow-through.The conflict did not unfold as expected and it devolved into a protracted stalemate characterized by simultaneous fighting and negotiation instead.Taking the evolution of the US-Israel-Iran War as the main thread,this paper systematically analyzes the background,underlying drivers,phased features,and evolving patterns of the conflict,focuses on such key emerging trends triggered by the war as the restructuring of global geopolitical power,deepening polarization among international blocs,disorder in the Middle Eastern regional order,and reshaping of the global energy landscape,explains the strategic adjustments of regional states and the new dynamics of great-power competition in the Middle East region,assesses scenarios for the Strait of Hormuz,and presents medium-to long-term considerations and recommendations for China's energy industry.

关键词

美以伊战事/战争演进/全球地缘格局/中东区域秩序/霍尔木兹海峡/能源格局

Key words

the US-Israel-Iran War/the evolution of warfare/global geopolitical landscape/regional order in the Middle East/the Strait of Hormuz/energy landscape

分类

社会科学

引用本文复制引用

陆如泉,张秀玲,李博媛,聂正雅..美以伊战事演进及其对全球地缘政治格局的影响[J].国际石油经济,2026,34(5):1-8,48,9.

国际石油经济

OACHSSCD

1004-7298

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