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变与不变:构建安全冗余、系统韧性的全球能源体系

王震 丛威 梁栋

国际石油经济2026,Vol.34Issue(5):9-15,7.
国际石油经济2026,Vol.34Issue(5):9-15,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-7298.2026.05.002

变与不变:构建安全冗余、系统韧性的全球能源体系

Change and constancy:building a globally redundant and resilient energy system

王震 1丛威 1梁栋1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国海油集团能源经济研究院
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The 44th annual CERAWeek,organized by S&P Global,took place from March 23 to 27,2026 in Houston,Texas,under the theme"Fusion&Rivalry:Energy,Technology,and Geopolitics."The conference highlighted the deep interweaving of geopolitical crises,artificial intelligence(AI)computing power,and energy.Participants of the conference believe that geopolitics has become the core driver shaping global energy market dynamics,energy security has returned to the center of national policy and investment decisions,and the global energy system is shifting decisively toward greater redundancy and resilience.The energy transition has moved from an aggressive push into a new phase of"pragmatic advancement,"leading to a re-evaluation of oil and gas as the bedrock of the energy system,with their strategic value and stabilizing role increasingly underscored.The rapid growth of AI is driving exponential increases for electricity demand in data center,making power supply capacity a hard constraint in great-power technological competition and a critical point for reshaping the global energy landscape.Meanwhile,China has built a full-value-chain system for critical mineral metals in new energy industry,forming core competitive advantages,which makes it a hot topic at this year's conference.

关键词

能源安全/系统韧性/地缘政治/人工智能(AI)/关键矿产/供应链

Key words

energy security/system resilience/geopolitics/artificial intelligence(AI)/critical minerals/supply chain

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

王震,丛威,梁栋..变与不变:构建安全冗余、系统韧性的全球能源体系[J].国际石油经济,2026,34(5):9-15,7.

国际石油经济

OACHSSCD

1004-7298

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