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湖北省气温资料非均一性的订正及影响分析

张玉翠 谭江红 赵琳

高原气象2026,Vol.45Issue(3):718-729,12.
高原气象2026,Vol.45Issue(3):718-729,12.DOI:10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2025.00110

湖北省气温资料非均一性的订正及影响分析

The Correction and Effect Analysis of Inhomogeneity in Temperature Data of Hubei Province

张玉翠 1谭江红 1赵琳2

作者信息

  • 1. 襄阳市气象局,湖北 襄阳 441021
  • 2. 国家气候中心,北京 100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Using homogeneous long-term data for climate assessment is crucial for enhancing the accuracy of evaluation results and provides important guidance for improving the adaptive capacity of human society and eco-system to respond to climate warming.Employed RHtests V4 software and combined with the meteorological sta-tion metadata,the reference stations were selected by the methods of adjacent station selection and Pearson corre-lation analysis,then inhomogeneity test and correction were conducted on the maximum and minimum tempera-ture series of 74 national meteorological stations in Hubei Province during 1961-2024,by defining inhomogene-ity bias and its contribution rate,the effects of inhomogeneity on annual and seasonal average maximum and min-imum temperatures series were analyzed.The results showed that,from 1961 to 2024,43.2%of the stations in Hubei Province exhibited inhomogeneity in the maximum temperature series,while 60.8%showed inhomogene-ity in the minimum temperature series;Minimum temperature was more sensitive to station relocation than maxi-mum temperature,while the inhomogeneity effect on temperature series caused by automated observation was weak.The trend bias in the annual and seasonal temperature series was generally small caused by data inhomoge-neity in Hubei Province,the warming rate of the annual average maximum was overestimated by 0.002℃·(10a)-1,while the annual average minimum temperature was underestimated by 0.001℃·(10a)-1,with inhomogeneity contribution rates of 0.84%and-0.37%separately,meanwhile more stations overestimated than underestimated;Among the stations with significant breakpoints in maximum temperature,56.3%showed an overestimation and 43.7%showed an underestimation on the variation rates of annual average maximum tem-perature,with average inhomogeneity contribution rates of 1.15%and-0.54%,respectively;Among the sta-tions with significant breakpoints in minimum temperature,51.1%had an overestimation and 48.9%had an un-derestimation on the variation rates of annual average minimum temperature,with average inhomogeneity contri-bution rates of 0.45%and-1.24%;In four seasons,the inhomogeneity effect was weakest in spring;While av-erage maximum temperature in winter,and average minimum temperature in autumn showed the most signifi-cant inhomogeneity effects,with contribution rates of-1.97%and 0.50%.In all stations,the degree of signifi-cant underestimation on the variation rate of average maximum temperature,and the degree of significant overes-timation and underestimation on the variation rate of average minimum temperature in autumn were markedly higher than in other seasons;Zigui was the station with the most significant inhomogeneity effect,primarily due to station relocation,and the variation rate of its autumn average minimum temperature was underestimated by 0.034℃·(10a)-1,with inhomogeneity contribution rate of-23.42%.

关键词

气温/非均一性订正/非均一性偏差/贡献率/湖北省

Key words

temperature/inhomogeneity correction/inhomogeneity bias/contribution rate/Hubei Province

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

张玉翠,谭江红,赵琳..湖北省气温资料非均一性的订正及影响分析[J].高原气象,2026,45(3):718-729,12.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(42475196) (42475196)

中国气象局公共气象服务中心创新基金项目(M2024011) (M2024011)

高原气象

1000-0534

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