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社交网络中考虑动态群体压力的舆情演化模型

马文龙 曾昭龙 胡啸峰

计算机工程与应用2026,Vol.62Issue(11):307-316,10.
计算机工程与应用2026,Vol.62Issue(11):307-316,10.DOI:10.3778/j.issn.1002-8331.2504-0308

社交网络中考虑动态群体压力的舆情演化模型

Opinion Dynamics Model with Varying Group Pressure in Social Networks

马文龙 1曾昭龙 1胡啸峰1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国人民公安大学 信息网络安全学院,北京 100038
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Aiming at the problem that the expressed and private opinion dynamics model(EPO)cannot capture the dynamic changes in group pressure and cannot explain the classic social psychology theory of"spiral of silence"(SOS),an improved EPO model is proposed.Firstly,the community structure theory is introduced into the model to characterize the local homo-geneity and global differences of public opinion distribution.Secondly,a dynamic weighting algorithm is proposed to inte-grate and model the key mechanisms of SOS theory,including opinion climate,quasi-sensory statistics,and fear of isola-tion index.On this basis,the convergence and stability of the model are demonstrated through theoretical analysis.Finally,the model is simulated on a real network and compared with the original EPO model.The simulation results show that compared with the original model,the improved model can accurately simulate the attenuation process of minority opinions and the self strengthening effect of majority opinions in real social networks.It can more accurately capture the evolution rules of opinions under group pressure in social networks,which are significantly in line with the core conclusion of SOS theory.

关键词

舆情动力学/表达和私人舆情(EPO)/群体压力/沉默的螺旋(SOS)/社区结构

Key words

opinion dynamics/expressed and private opinion(EPO)/group pressure/spiral of silence(SOS)/community structures

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

马文龙,曾昭龙,胡啸峰..社交网络中考虑动态群体压力的舆情演化模型[J].计算机工程与应用,2026,62(11):307-316,10.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(72174203) (72174203)

中国人民公安大学校级横向项目(H20250013). (H20250013)

计算机工程与应用

1002-8331

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