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中国航空气象对流天气临近预报技术研究进展

李晞雅 王刚 罗义

气象科技进展2026,Vol.16Issue(2):43-50,8.
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气象科技进展2026,Vol.16Issue(2):43-50,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2095-1973.2026.02.004

中国航空气象对流天气临近预报技术研究进展

Research Progress on Convective Weather Nowcasting Techniques for Aviation Meteorology in China

李晞雅 1王刚 1罗义1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国民用航空中南地区空中交通管理局气象中心,广州 510405
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This paper reviews the research progress of convective weather nowcasting techniques for aviation meteorology in China since 2010,focusing on the application and existing problems of different convective weather nowcasting methods in aviation operational forecasting,including extrapolation forecasting,numerical model forecasting,and multi-method fusion.The multi-scale tracking radar echoes by cross-correlation(MTREC)method has been well applied in convective nowcasting,which enables relatively early and accurate prediction of the movement trends of convective weather systems.The Rapid Update Cycle(RUC)system with radar data for civil aviation has been developed and continuously updated.Techniques such as deep learning,fusion of extrapolation and numerical models,and multi-source observation data fusion are gradually being applied in weather nowcasting for aviation.

关键词

对流天气/临近预报/雷达回波交叉相关跟踪法/光流法/深度学习

Key words

convective weather/nowcasting/tracking radar echoes by cross-correlation(TREC)/optical flow method/deep learning

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

李晞雅,王刚,罗义..中国航空气象对流天气临近预报技术研究进展[J].气象科技进展,2026,16(2):43-50,8.

气象科技进展

2095-1973

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