系统管理学报2026，Vol.35Issue(3)：637-648,12.DOI:10.3969/j.issn2097-4558.2026.03.003
考虑预算约束的养老服务补贴策略
Subsidy Strategies for Elderly Care Services Considering Budget Constraints
摘要
Abstract
With the gradual deepening of population aging in China,the government has introduced various subsidy policies to promote the development of the elderly care service industry.However,given the large and growing elderly population,the continuous increase in subsidy expenditures has placed significant pressure on public finances.Taking the government's no-subsidy strategy as a benchmark and incorporating budget constraints,this paper analyzes the impacts of three subsidy strategies on the elderly care service industry:subsidizing nursing homes,subsidizing consumers(the elderly),and mixed subsidies(i.e.,subsidizing both nursing homes and the elderly).The findings indicate that subsidy policies do not always improve social welfare;excessive subsidies may instead reduce overall welfare.Compared with subsidizing nursing homes,subsidizing the elderly is not always the optimal strategy;the optimal choice depends on the size of the government's subsidy budget.The mixed subsidy strategy is most sensitive to the government's budget level and can achieve the highest level of social welfare.关键词
预算约束/政府补贴/博弈/社会福利Key words
budget constraint/government subsidy/game theory/social welfare分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
赵树平,李双双,陈敬贤,梁昌勇,李克卿..考虑预算约束的养老服务补贴策略[J].系统管理学报,2026,35(3):637-648,12.基金项目
国家社会科学基金重点项目(21AZD116) （21AZD116）
安徽省自然科学基金面上项目(2208085MG182) （2208085MG182）
国家自然科学基金面上项目(72171073) （72171073）
