中国人口·资源与环境2026，Vol.36Issue(4)：1-10,10.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20251208
数字生态文明:数智时代破解"杰文斯悖论"的中国智慧与中国方案
Digital ecological civilization:Chinese wisdom and solutions for resolving the"Jevons Paradox"in the era of digital intelligence
摘要
Abstract
From a macro-historical perspective,this study systematically traces the evolutionary trajectory of the"Jevons Paradox"from the First to the Fourth Industrial Revolutions,delineating four progressive stages(1.0-4.0)and proposing a new form of the"Jevons Paradox"in the era of artificial intelligence(AI).Specifically,the First Industrial Revolution gave rise to Jevons Paradox 1.0,characterized by the core relational elements of"steam technology-coal application."The Second Industrial Revolution saw an evolu-tion into Jevons Paradox 2.0,defined by the core relational elements of"electrification-diversified energy sources."The Third Industri-al Revolution ushered in Jevons Paradox 3.0,centered on the core relational elements of"information technology-globalization of ener-gy consumption."In light of the requirements for a comprehensive green socio-economic transformation in the era of digital intelligence,this study constructs an analytical framework for"Jevons Paradox 4.0,"with artificial intelligence and carbon emissions as its core rela-tional elements.By integrating classical political economy,Marx's theory of the organic composition of capital,Schumpeter's theory of"creative destruction,"and Perez's theory of techno-economic paradigm shifts,this study reveals that the lack of synergy within techno-economic paradigms serves as a structural driver of the"Jevons Paradox,"while the structural mismatch between techno-economic para-digms and social institutions constitutes the institutional root of its persistence.Key influencing factors include the intensity and effica-cy of green technological innovation,the proportion of clean energy in the power structure,the development and scale of low-carbon in-dustrial systems,the robustness and enforceability of carbon trading mechanisms,and the formation and expression of consumers' green preferences.Adhering to Xi Jinping Thought on the Economy and Xi Jinping Thought on Ecological Civilization as fundamental princi-ples,this study further elucidates the Chinese wisdom embodied in the concept of"digital ecological civilization,"a landmark concept within Xi Jinping Thought on Ecological Civilization.The study posits that theoretical support for resolving the"Jevons Paradox"can be provided through the digital restructuring of the energy structure,intelligent offsetting of scale effects,integrated promotion of para-digm shifts,and the systematic innovation of governance mechanisms.Building on this,the study systematically proposes a Chinese so-lution for addressing the"Jevons Paradox"in the era of digital intelligence,encompassing the development of green new quality produc-tive forces,the construction of compatible new relations of production,the cultivation of a green AI-driven social ethos,and active par-ticipation in and leadership of global AI governance.关键词
数字生态文明/人工智能/杰文斯悖论/中国智慧/中国方案Key words
digital ecological civilization/artificial intelligence/Jevons Paradox/Chinese wisdom/Chinese solution分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
孙博文,王树勋..数字生态文明:数智时代破解"杰文斯悖论"的中国智慧与中国方案[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2026,36(4):1-10,10.基金项目
国家自然科学基金青年项目"中国清洁生产环境规制的减污降碳协同效应、机制与路径研究"(批准号:72303239) （批准号:72303239）
中国社会科学院习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想研究阐释工程重点项目"生态文明3.0:数字生态文明标识性概念与三重逻辑研究"(批准号:2026XYZD09) （批准号:2026XYZD09）
中国社会科学院智库基础研究项目"数智技术的'碳排放悖论':历史逻辑、生成机制与策略应对"(批准号:2025-JZ-22). （批准号:2025-JZ-22）
