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基于熵权法的地震应急质量评估体系优化研究

任静 张云芝 徐志双 刘晓雨 李晓丽 段乙好 高占昆 杨理臣 吴艳梅 杨玉永 何霆 郑韵 刘岸果

地震地磁观测与研究2026,Vol.47Issue(1):98-105,8.
地震地磁观测与研究2026,Vol.47Issue(1):98-105,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1003-3246.2026.01.013

基于熵权法的地震应急质量评估体系优化研究

Optimization study on earthquake emergency quality evaluation system based on entropy weight method:A case study of provincial earthquake agency and earthquake monitoring central station

任静 1张云芝 1徐志双 1刘晓雨 1李晓丽 1段乙好 1高占昆 1杨理臣 2吴艳梅 3杨玉永 4何霆 5郑韵 6刘岸果7

作者信息

  • 1. 中国北京 100045 中国地震台网中心
  • 2. 中国西宁 810001 青海省地震局
  • 3. 中国昆明 650224 云南省地震局
  • 4. 中国济南 250014 山东省地震局
  • 5. 中国广州 510070 广东省地震局
  • 6. 中国福州 350003 福建省地震局
  • 7. 中国兰州 730000 甘肃省地震局
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Aiming at the structural problems of"experience-dependent weight allocation and insufficient indicator discriminability"in the current earthquake emergency quality evaluation system of the China Earthquake Administration,this paper introduces the entropy weight method to construct an objective and quantitative evaluation model.Using assessment data from 31 provincial earthquake agencies and 141 earthquake monitoring central stations as samples,it systematically analyzes the degree of information contribution and weight distribution characteristics of each indicator.The study identifies 4 core distinguishing indicators at the provincial agency level,such as"organization of regional exercises"and"in-unit tabletop drills",with a cumulative weight of 0.76,as well as 3 key indicators at the central station level,including"tabletop drill summary report"and"basic materials and regional background materials of central stations",with a cumulative weight of 0.62.The innovations of this study are reflected in two aspects:First,it is the first time that the entropy weight method has been systematically applied to the two-level earthquake emergency evaluation system of provincial agencies and central stations,which solves the problem of subjective weight assignment in traditional evaluation;Second,it proposes an evolution idea of the evaluation system featuring"dynamic weight update mechanism+data-driven optimization path",providing methodological support for the iteration of the evaluation system.Based on the results of entropy weight analysis,this paper proposes optimization paths across three dimensions:Indicator system reconstruction,technical process optimization,and management mechanism improvement,including"eliminating non-discriminatory indicators,refining the scoring standards of high-weight indicators,and establishing a data-driven dynamic evaluation mechanism".The research conclusions can directly support the transformation of the earthquake emergency evaluation system from"experience-based judgment"to"data-driven decision-making",and provide a quantitative basis for the precise improvement of national earthquake emergency response capabilities.

关键词

地震应急/质量评估/熵权法/省级地震局/监测中心站/指标优化

Key words

earthquake emergency/quality evaluation/entropy weight method/provincial earthquake agency/earthquake monitoring central station/indicator optimization

引用本文复制引用

任静,张云芝,徐志双,刘晓雨,李晓丽,段乙好,高占昆,杨理臣,吴艳梅,杨玉永,何霆,郑韵,刘岸果..基于熵权法的地震应急质量评估体系优化研究[J].地震地磁观测与研究,2026,47(1):98-105,8.

地震地磁观测与研究

1003-3246

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